Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight MainKhamzat ChimaevvsSean Strickland
- 2flyweightJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 7welterweightJoel AlvarezvsYaroslav Amosov
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 9lightweightJim MillervsJared Gordon
- 10middleweightRoman KopylovvsMarco Tulio
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: King Green 86.7% · Jeremy Stephens 13.3%
Pure Elo pre-fight: King Green 63.2% · Jeremy Stephens 36.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Notable
9 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
10 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.
Tale of the tape
| 17-12-1 | UFC record | 15-20-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 3 | Finishes | KO 8 · Sub 0 |
| +4 | Streak | -7 |
| 39 | Age | 40 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 71" 180 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1621 | Global Elo | 1484 |
| 1577 | Elo rating | 1448 |
King Green — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 3 finishes in a row
- UFC veteran since 2013
Jeremy Stephens — Notable ▼
- 7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- 53% of wins by KO/TKO
- UFC veteran since 2007
King Green — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2124 landed total · career
- Head 58%
- Body 25%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 10%
Jeremy Stephens — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1281 landed total · career
- Head 59%
- Body 17%
- Leg 24%
- Distance 74%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 17%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Jeremy Stephens has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1566 vs 1524, 3 quality wins to 3.
- Jul 11, 2026
- May 9, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Dec 13, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- May 9, 2026
- May 3, 2025
- Jul 17, 2021
- May 9, 2020
- Oct 18, 2019