King Green vs Jeremy Stephens — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

King Green

16-12-1 UFC record
KO 4 · Sub 3 Finishes
+3 Streak
39 Age
5'10"178 cm Height
71"180 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1606 Global Elo
1555 Elo Rating

Notable

3-fight UFC win streak
UFC veteran since 2013

CORNER B

Jeremy Stephens

15-20-0 UFC record
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes
-7 Streak
40 Age
5'9"175 cm Height
71"180 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1484 Global Elo
1448 Elo Rating

Notable

7-fight losing streak
53% of wins by KO/TKO
UFC veteran since 2007

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Other fights on this card · 12

Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Main event · middleweight Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta heavyweight Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley welterweight Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov welterweight Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki lightweight Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon lightweight Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio middleweight Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis featherweight Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos middleweight Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa flyweight

Tale of the tape

16-12-1	UFC record	15-20-0
KO 4 · Sub 3	Finishes	KO 7 · Sub 0
+3	Streak	-7
39	Age	40
5'10" 178 cm	Height	5'9" 175 cm
71" 180 cm	Reach	71" 180 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1606	Global Elo	1484
1555	Elo rating	1448

King Green — Notable ▼

At a glance

3-fight UFC win streak
Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
UFC veteran since 2013

Jeremy Stephens — Notable ▼

At a glance

7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
53% of wins by KO/TKO
UFC veteran since 2007

King Green — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2058 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

59% Head

Head 59%
Body 24%
Leg 17%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

81% Distance

Distance 81%
Clinch 9%
Ground 10%

Jeremy Stephens — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1281 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

59% Head

Head 59%
Body 17%
Leg 24%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

74% Distance

Distance 74%
Clinch 10%
Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

6.58

3.13

div avg 4.65

54%

41%

div avg 51%

3.61

3.24

div avg 3.84

62%

58%

div avg 54%

1.30

1.10

div avg 1.84

47%

38%

div avg 38%

70%

62%

div avg 72%

0.29

0.40

div avg 0.62

div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

King Green

44% finish rate

KO 4 · Sub 3

can finish?

Jeremy Stephens

finished 35%

7 of 20 losses

Jeremy Stephens

47% finish rate

KO 7 · Sub 0

can finish?

King Green

finished 50%

6 of 12 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1543 (King Green) vs 1566 (Jeremy Stephens).

King Green red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1543

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 16 UFC wins

Toughest win

Grant Dawson

Elo 1689 at fight time

Expected wins

14.6

+1.4 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 29 fights

1568

1498

Notable wins

Grant Dawson 1689 Tony Ferguson 1637 Jim Miller 1626

Jeremy Stephens blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1566

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 15 UFC wins

Toughest win

Renan Barao

Elo 1650 at fight time

Expected wins

16.2

−1.2 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 35 fights

1552

1592

Notable wins

Renan Barao 1650 Dennis Bermudez 1605 Darren Elkins 1603

Corner A recent form

King Green

W Jeremy Stephens Submission

May 9, 2026
W Daniel Zellhuber KO/TKO

Feb 28, 2026
W Lance Gibson Jr. Decision - Split

Dec 13, 2025
L Mauricio Ruffy KO/TKO

Mar 8, 2025
L Paddy Pimblett Submission

Jul 27, 2024
W Jim Miller Decision - Unanimous

Apr 13, 2024
L Jalin Turner KO/TKO

Dec 2, 2023
W Grant Dawson KO/TKO

Oct 7, 2023
W Tony Ferguson Submission

Jul 29, 2023
L Drew Dober KO/TKO

Dec 17, 2022
L Islam Makhachev KO/TKO

Feb 26, 2022
W Nasrat Haqparast Decision - Unanimous

Feb 12, 2022
W Al Iaquinta KO/TKO

Nov 6, 2021
L Rafael Fiziev Decision - Unanimous

Aug 7, 2021
L Thiago Moises Decision - Unanimous

Oct 31, 2020
W Alan Patrick Decision - Unanimous

Sep 12, 2020
W Lando Vannata Decision - Unanimous

Aug 1, 2020
W Clay Guida Decision - Unanimous

Jun 20, 2020
L Francisco Trinaldo Decision - Unanimous

Nov 16, 2019
L Drakkar Klose Decision - Unanimous

Dec 15, 2018
W Erik Koch Decision - Unanimous

Jan 27, 2018
D Lando Vannata Decision - Split

Oct 7, 2017
L Rashid Magomedov Decision - Split

Apr 15, 2017
L Dustin Poirier KO/TKO

Jun 4, 2016
L Edson Barboza Decision - Unanimous

Nov 22, 2014
W Josh Thomson Decision - Split

Jul 26, 2014
W Pat Healy Decision - Unanimous

Dec 14, 2013
W James Krause KO/TKO

Nov 6, 2013
W Jacob Volkmann Submission

Feb 2, 2013

Corner B recent form

Jeremy Stephens

L King Green Submission

May 9, 2026
L Mason Jones Decision - Unanimous

May 3, 2025
L Mateusz Gamrot Submission

Jul 17, 2021
L Calvin Kattar KO/TKO

May 9, 2020
L Yair Rodriguez Decision - Unanimous

Oct 18, 2019
L Zabit Magomedsharipov Decision - Unanimous

Mar 2, 2019
L Jose Aldo KO/TKO

Jul 28, 2018
W Josh Emmett KO/TKO

Feb 24, 2018
W Dooho Choi KO/TKO

Jan 14, 2018
W Gilbert Melendez Decision - Unanimous

Sep 9, 2017
L Renato Moicano Decision - Split

Apr 15, 2017
L Frankie Edgar Decision - Unanimous

Nov 12, 2016
W Renan Barao Decision - Unanimous

May 29, 2016
L Max Holloway Decision - Unanimous

Dec 12, 2015
W Dennis Bermudez KO/TKO

Jul 11, 2015
L Charles Oliveira Decision - Unanimous

Dec 12, 2014
L Cub Swanson Decision - Unanimous

Jun 28, 2014
W Darren Elkins Decision - Unanimous

Jan 25, 2014
W Rony Jason KO/TKO

Nov 9, 2013
W Estevan Payan Decision - Unanimous

May 25, 2013
L Yves Edwards KO/TKO

Dec 8, 2012
L Donald Cerrone Decision - Unanimous

May 15, 2012
L Anthony Pettis Decision - Split

Oct 8, 2011
W Danny Downes Decision - Unanimous

Jun 4, 2011
W Marcus Davis KO/TKO

Jan 1, 2011
L Melvin Guillard Decision - Split

Sep 25, 2010
W Sam Stout Decision - Split

May 8, 2010
W Justin Buchholz TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

Sep 16, 2009
L Gleison Tibau Decision - Unanimous

Apr 1, 2009
L Joe Lauzon Submission

Feb 7, 2009
W Rafael Dos Anjos KO/TKO

Nov 15, 2008
L Spencer Fisher Decision - Unanimous

Jun 21, 2008
W Cole Miller KO/TKO

Jan 23, 2008
W Diego Saraiva Decision - Unanimous

Sep 22, 2007
L Din Thomas Submission

May 26, 2007

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from King Green & Jeremy Stephens on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.