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Paddy Pimblett "The Baddy"

Active #8 lightweight · age 31 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs Benoit Saint Denis · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 71% of wins by KO or submission
  • 43% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1623
Global Elo 1655 ±25
Rank
#8
top 8% of division
UFC record
7-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -21
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
Loss by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 27m
Avg fight time
10:56
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
18m
Since last fight
5mo

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Sep 4, 2021 — W vs Luigi Vendramini Δ+31Mar 19, 2022 — W vs Kazula Vargas Δ+30Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Jordan Leavitt Δ+33Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Jared Gordon Δ+26Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+28Jul 27, 2024 — W vs King Green Δ+16Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Michael Chandler Δ+11Jan 24, 2026 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-21 145015001550160016501700 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":348,"elo":1498,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"Luigi Vendramini","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":178,"y":309.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Kazula Vargas","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":234.6,"y":266.8,"elo":1562,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Jordan Leavitt","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":297.5,"y":233.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":464.1,"y":197.1,"elo":1616,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":564.8,"y":176.9,"elo":1632,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"King Green","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":681.1,"y":162.4,"elo":1643,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Michael Chandler","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":189.2,"elo":1623,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Justin Gaethje L -21
Apr 12, 2025 Michael Chandler W +11
Jul 27, 2024 King Green W +16
Dec 16, 2023 Tony Ferguson W +28
Dec 10, 2022 Jared Gordon W +26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
3
43% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 3 (43%) 3 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 480 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 1 loss went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1592
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Tony Ferguson
Elo 1614 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.4
+2.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1481
1662
Notable wins
Tony Ferguson 1614

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Paddy Pimblett on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.