Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight MainKhamzat ChimaevvsSean Strickland
- 2flyweightJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsJeremy Stephens
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 7welterweightJoel AlvarezvsYaroslav Amosov
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 9lightweightJim MillervsJared Gordon
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Roman Kopylov 24.0% · Marco Tulio 76.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Roman Kopylov 53.9% · Marco Tulio 46.1%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Notable
Finishes 71% of wins (5 KO).
Tale of the tape
| 7-5-0 | UFC record | 2-2-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -2 |
| 35 | Age | 32 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1571 | Global Elo | 1502 |
| 1525 | Elo rating | 1454 |
Roman Kopylov — Notable ▼
- 71% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Marco Tulio — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · middleweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
- Top 5 · middleweightKnockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Ateba Gautier3.27
- 2Gilbert Urbina2.04
- 3Abdul Razak Alhassan1.53
- 4Azamat Bekoev1.49
- 5Marco Tulio1.30
Roman Kopylov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 668 landed total · career
- Head 66%
- Body 19%
- Leg 15%
- Distance 92%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 4%
Marco Tulio — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 245 landed total · career
- Head 55%
- Body 27%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Roman Kopylov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1576 vs 1524, 0 quality wins to 0.
- May 9, 2026
- Nov 15, 2025
- Jul 19, 2025
- Jan 11, 2025
- Jun 1, 2024
- May 9, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Apr 12, 2025
- Jan 11, 2025