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✓ Roman Kopylov won · by Decision · R3

Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Roman Kopylov
#29 8-5-0
Elo 1542
VS
Corner B
Marco Tulio
#49 2-2-0
Elo 1454
Final result · recorded May 9, 2026
Roman Kopylov
defeated Marco Tulio by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Roman Kopylov 24.0% · Marco Tulio 76.0%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Roman Kopylov 53.9% · Marco Tulio 46.1%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 12
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Main event · middleweight TITLE Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira flyweight TITLE Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta heavyweight Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley welterweight King Green vs Jeremy Stephens lightweight Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov welterweight Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki lightweight Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon lightweight Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis featherweight Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos middleweight Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa flyweight

Notable

Kopylov

Finishes 75% of wins (6 KO).

Tale of the tape

8-5-0 UFC record 2-2-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
+2 Streak -2
35 Age 32
6'0" 183 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1592 Global Elo 1502
1542 Elo rating 1454
Roman Kopylov — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 75% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Marco Tulio — Notable ▼
At a glance

Roman Kopylov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 687 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 5%

Marco Tulio — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 245 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 7%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.57
7.07
div avg 4.55
51%
55%
div avg 52%
5.02
3.09
div avg 3.30
54%
56%
div avg 54%
1.10
0.87
div avg 1.53
50%
40%
div avg 44%
89%
0%
div avg 75%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.46
1
2
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Roman Kopylov
75% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Marco Tulio
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Marco Tulio
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Roman Kopylov
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Roman Kopylov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1595 vs 1524, 1 quality wins to 0.

Roman Kopylov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1595
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ateba Gautier
Elo 1629 at fight time
Expected wins
6.2
+1.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1537
1629
Notable wins
Ateba Gautier 1629
Marco Tulio blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tresean Gore
Elo 1512 at fight time
Expected wins
2.0
−0.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1461
1556
Corner A recent form
Roman Kopylov
Corner B recent form
Marco Tulio
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Roman Kopylov & Marco Tulio on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.