HonestElo
← lightweight

Arman Tsarukyan

Active #4 lightweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1696 ±26
LCB 1662
Rank
#4
top 3% of division
UFC record
10-2-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
+5
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Apr 20, 2019 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-19Jul 27, 2019 — W vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier Δ+35Jul 18, 2020 — W vs Davi Ramos Δ+35Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Matt Frevola Δ+28Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Christos Giagos Δ+28Feb 26, 2022 — W vs Joel Alvarez Δ+18Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ-18Dec 17, 2022 — W vs Damir Ismagulov Δ+17Jun 17, 2023 — W vs Joaquim Silva Δ+15Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Beneil Dariush Δ+21Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+20Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Dan Hooker Δ+16 14411515158916621736 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":207.2,"elo":1481,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":1,"x":58.7,"y":181.9,"elo":1517,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Olivier Aubin-Mercier","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":185,"y":156.7,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Davi Ramos","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":251.9,"y":136.7,"elo":1579,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Matt Frevola","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":336.1,"y":116.9,"elo":1607,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":393,"y":103.7,"elo":1625,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Joel Alvarez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":435.1,"y":116.5,"elo":1607,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":497.1,"y":104.4,"elo":1624,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Damir Ismagulov","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":561.5,"y":93.8,"elo":1639,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Joaquim Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":620.9,"y":78.4,"elo":1660,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":668,"y":64.2,"elo":1680,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":52.8,"elo":1696,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Dan Hooker W +16
Apr 13, 2024 Charles Oliveira W +20
Dec 2, 2023 Beneil Dariush W +21
Jun 17, 2023 Joaquim Silva W +15
Dec 17, 2022 Damir Ismagulov W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.54 avg 4.07
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.66 avg 3.45
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.00 avg 1.56
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.09 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
5 / 10
Finish rate
KO
4
40% of wins
SUB
1
10% of wins
DEC
5
50% of wins
KO: 4 (40%) 4 Sub: 1 (10%) 1 Dec: 5 (50%) 5
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
2 40%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1650
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.7
actual +4 vs expected