Other bouts 12
- 2flyweightJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsJeremy Stephens
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 7welterweightJoel AlvarezvsYaroslav Amosov
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 9lightweightJim MillervsJared Gordon
- 10middleweightRoman KopylovvsMarco Tulio
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Khamzat Chimaev 80.0% · Sean Strickland 20.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Khamzat Chimaev 57.7% · Sean Strickland 42.3%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Title-fight record 2–2.
Tale of the tape
| 9-1-0 | UFC record | 18-7-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 4 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 1 |
| -1 | Streak | +2 |
| 32 | Age | 35 |
| 6'2" 188 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 76" 193 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1712 | Global Elo | 1704 |
| 1676 | Elo rating | 1657 |
Khamzat Chimaev — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · middleweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 67% of wins by KO or submission
Sean Strickland — Notable ▼
- 1 successful title defense
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- UFC veteran since 2014
Khamzat Chimaev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 396 landed total · career
- Head 76%
- Body 15%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 56%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 41%
Sean Strickland — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2430 landed total · career
- Head 81%
- Body 14%
- Leg 5%
- Distance 92%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 5%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1702 (Khamzat Chimaev) vs 1687 (Sean Strickland).
Common opponents
3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- May 9, 2026
- Aug 16, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- Oct 21, 2023
- Sep 10, 2022
- May 9, 2026
- Feb 21, 2026
- Feb 8, 2025
- Jun 1, 2024
- Jan 20, 2024