HonestElo
← Back to event card
✓ Sean Strickland won · by Decision · R5
middleweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 9-1-0
Elo 1676
VS
Corner B
C Sean Strickland
#3 18-7-0
Elo 1657
Final result · recorded May 10, 2026
Sean Strickland
defeated Khamzat Chimaev by Decision in round 5

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Khamzat Chimaev 80.0% · Sean Strickland 20.0%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Khamzat Chimaev 57.7% · Sean Strickland 42.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 12
Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta heavyweight Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley welterweight King Green vs Jeremy Stephens lightweight Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov welterweight Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki lightweight Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon lightweight Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio middleweight Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis featherweight Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos middleweight Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa flyweight

Tale of the tape

9-1-0 UFC record 18-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 4 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 1
-1 Streak +2
32 Age 35
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1712 Global Elo 1704
1676 Elo rating 1657
Khamzat Chimaev — Notable ▼
At a glance
Sean Strickland — Notable ▼
At a glance

Khamzat Chimaev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 396 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
76% Head
  • Head 76%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 41%

Sean Strickland — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2430 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
81% Head
  • Head 81%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.01
5.98
div avg 4.47
54%
43%
div avg 51%
2.98
4.53
div avg 3.48
52%
61%
div avg 54%
5.32
0.66
div avg 1.73
58%
62%
div avg 44%
88%
69%
div avg 69%
1.37
0.15
div avg 0.52
8
1
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Khamzat Chimaev
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 4
can finish?
Sean Strickland
finished 29%
2 of 7 losses
Sean Strickland
33% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 1
can finish?
Khamzat Chimaev
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1702 (Khamzat Chimaev) vs 1687 (Sean Strickland).

Khamzat Chimaev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1702
Elite slate
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Kamaru Usman
Elo 1754 at fight time
Expected wins
5.0
+4.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1449
1681
Notable wins
Kamaru Usman 1754 Dricus Du Plessis 1751 Robert Whittaker 1706 Gilbert Burns 1674 Kevin Holland 1616
Sean Strickland blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1687
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
8
of 18 UFC wins
Toughest win
Israel Adesanya
Elo 1751 at fight time
Expected wins
13.3
+4.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 25 fights
1509
1735
Notable wins
Israel Adesanya 1751 Khamzat Chimaev 1735 Anthony Hernandez 1653 Paulo Costa 1623 Jack Hermansson 1607

Common opponents

3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Dricus Du Plessis
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Split
    Aug 16, 2025
    Jan 20, 2024
  • W
    Dricus Du Plessis
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Aug 16, 2025
    Feb 8, 2025
  • W
    Kamaru Usman
    L
    Decision - Majority
    Decision - Unanimous
    Oct 21, 2023
    Apr 8, 2017
Corner A recent form
Khamzat Chimaev
Corner B recent form
Sean Strickland
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Khamzat Chimaev & Sean Strickland on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.