HonestElo
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Mateusz Gamrot

Active #12 lightweight · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1637 ±34
LCB 1592
Rank
#12
top 11% of division
UFC record
8-4-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Oct 17, 2020 — L vs Guram Kutateladze Δ-29Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Scott Holtzman Δ+42Jul 17, 2021 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+35Dec 18, 2021 — W vs Diego Ferreira Δ+38Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Arman Tsarukyan Δ+32Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-12Mar 4, 2023 — W vs Jalin Turner Δ+16Sep 23, 2023 — W vs Rafael Fiziev Δ+18Mar 9, 2024 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+16Aug 17, 2024 — L vs Dan Hooker Δ-18May 31, 2025 — W vs Ludovit Klein Δ+14Oct 11, 2025 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-15 14311497156416301696 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204,"elo":1471,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Guram Kutateladze","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":105.9,"y":170.6,"elo":1513,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Scott Holtzman","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":2,"x":151.8,"y":142.4,"elo":1548,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":223.9,"y":112.1,"elo":1586,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Diego Ferreira","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":312.4,"y":86.4,"elo":1618,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Arman Tsarukyan","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":368.1,"y":96.4,"elo":1606,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":6,"x":430.3,"y":83.9,"elo":1621,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":525.4,"y":69.1,"elo":1640,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":604,"y":56,"elo":1656,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":679.4,"y":70.4,"elo":1638,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":813.7,"y":59.1,"elo":1652,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":71.6,"elo":1637,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Charles Oliveira L -15
May 31, 2025 Ludovit Klein W +14
Aug 17, 2024 Dan Hooker L -18
Mar 9, 2024 Rafael Dos Anjos W +16
Sep 23, 2023 Rafael Fiziev W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.00 avg 4.09
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.69 avg 3.41
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.69 avg 1.50
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
37% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
83% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.09 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
3 75%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1637
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.6
actual +2 vs expected