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Ilia Topuria "El Matador"

Active #1 lightweight · age 29 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 78% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1686
Global Elo 1727 ±31
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
9-1-0
KO 6 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -28 · Δ1y -5
Last fight
Jun 14, 2026
Loss by KO · R4
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 44m
Avg fight time
10:26
Title fights
3-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
21m
Since last fight
6d

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Youssef Zalal Δ+35Dec 5, 2020 — W vs Damon Jackson Δ+31Jul 10, 2021 — W vs Ryan Hall Δ+40Mar 19, 2022 — W vs Jai Herbert Δ+23Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Bryce Mitchell Δ+35Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+15Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ+28Oct 26, 2024 — W vs Max Holloway Δ+26Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+23Jun 14, 2026 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-28 1450150015501600165017001750 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":362.1,"elo":1495,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Youssef Zalal","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":109.5,"y":329.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Damon Jackson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":184.8,"y":287.3,"elo":1565,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Ryan Hall","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":3,"x":272.3,"y":263.1,"elo":1588,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Jai Herbert","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":364.7,"y":226,"elo":1623,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Bryce Mitchell","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":432.8,"y":210.2,"elo":1637,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":515.5,"y":180.6,"elo":1665,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":7,"x":603,"y":152.8,"elo":1691,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":8,"x":688.1,"y":128.4,"elo":1714,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":157.9,"elo":1686,"date":"2026-06-14","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 14, 2026 Justin Gaethje L -28
Jun 28, 2025 Charles Oliveira W +23
Oct 26, 2024 Max Holloway W +26
Feb 17, 2024 Alexander Volkanovski W +28
Jun 24, 2023 Josh Emmett W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
78%
7 / 9
Finish rate
KO
6
67% of wins
SUB
1
11% of wins
DEC
2
22% of wins
KO: 6 (67%) 6 Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 2 (22%) 2
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 502 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 16%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
1 of 1
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1710
Elite slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Max Holloway
Elo 1751 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.9
+4.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1579
1682

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Ilia Topuria on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.