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Jeremy Stephens "Lil' Heathen"

Active #69 lightweight · age 40 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 53% of wins by KO/TKO
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1448
Global Elo 1484 ±28
Rank
#69
top 77% of division
UFC record
15-20-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 7
Streak
-7
Δ90d -13 · Δ1y -13
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6h 49m
Avg fight time
11:40
Bonuses
15
Fights per year
1.8
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

35 fights · tap & drag
May 26, 2007 — L vs Din Thomas Δ-28Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Diego Saraiva Δ+26Jan 23, 2008 — W vs Cole Miller Δ+39Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-27Nov 15, 2008 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+32Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-16Apr 1, 2009 — L vs Gleison Tibau Δ-15Sep 16, 2009 — W vs Justin Buchholz Δ+15May 8, 2010 — W vs Sam Stout Δ+15Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-15Jan 1, 2011 — W vs Marcus Davis Δ+22Jun 4, 2011 — W vs Danny Downes Δ+14Oct 8, 2011 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-20May 15, 2012 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-13Dec 8, 2012 — L vs Yves Edwards Δ-17May 25, 2013 — W vs Estevan Payan Δ+16Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Rony Jason Δ+22Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+19Jun 28, 2014 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-13Dec 12, 2014 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-16Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Dennis Bermudez Δ+22Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-13May 29, 2016 — W vs Renan Barao Δ+21Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-11Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-16Sep 9, 2017 — W vs Gilbert Melendez Δ+12Jan 14, 2018 — W vs Dooho Choi Δ+19Feb 24, 2018 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+20Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Mar 2, 2019 — L vs Zabit Magomedsharipov Δ-14Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-12May 9, 2020 — L vs Calvin Kattar Δ-16Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ-20May 3, 2025 — L vs Mason Jones Δ-18May 9, 2026 — L vs King Green Δ-13 14001450150015501600 2011201520192023 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":352.9,"elo":1436,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Din Thomas","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":102.4,"y":310.6,"elo":1462,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Diego Saraiva","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":115.2,"y":248.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":130.8,"y":291.4,"elo":1474,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":146.1,"y":240.1,"elo":1506,"date":"2008-11-15","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":154.8,"y":265.5,"elo":1490,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":160.3,"y":290.3,"elo":1475,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":177.8,"y":267.1,"elo":1489,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Justin Buchholz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":202.1,"y":243.1,"elo":1504,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Sam Stout","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":216.7,"y":267.8,"elo":1489,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":226.9,"y":232.7,"elo":1511,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":11,"x":242.9,"y":210.5,"elo":1525,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Danny Downes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":256,"y":242.2,"elo":1505,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":13,"x":278.9,"y":263.8,"elo":1491,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":14,"x":300.4,"y":291,"elo":1474,"date":"2012-12-08","opp":"Yves Edwards","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":317.9,"y":266.2,"elo":1490,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Estevan Payan","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":335.3,"y":230.6,"elo":1512,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Rony Jason","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":17,"x":343.3,"y":201,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":18,"x":359.4,"y":222.3,"elo":1517,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":376.7,"y":247.3,"elo":1502,"date":"2014-12-12","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":20,"x":398.7,"y":212.2,"elo":1524,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":21,"x":414.7,"y":232.4,"elo":1511,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":22,"x":432.3,"y":199.4,"elo":1532,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Renan Barao","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":23,"x":449.6,"y":217.2,"elo":1520,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":24,"x":465.7,"y":242.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":25,"x":480.9,"y":223.1,"elo":1517,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Gilbert Melendez","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":26,"x":494.1,"y":192.4,"elo":1536,"date":"2018-01-14","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":27,"x":498.4,"y":160.9,"elo":1556,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":28,"x":514.4,"y":183.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":29,"x":537,"y":206.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Zabit Magomedsharipov","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":30,"x":560.9,"y":225.5,"elo":1515,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":31,"x":582.1,"y":251.4,"elo":1499,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":32,"x":627.3,"y":282.8,"elo":1479,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":33,"x":771.4,"y":311.4,"elo":1462,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Mason Jones","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":34,"x":810,"y":333,"elo":1448,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"King Green","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 King Green L -13
May 3, 2025 Mason Jones L -18
Jul 17, 2021 Mateusz Gamrot L -20
May 9, 2020 Calvin Kattar L -16
Oct 18, 2019 Yair Rodriguez L -12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
47%
7 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
7
47% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 7 (50%) 7
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
2 25%
R2
3 38%
R3
3 38%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1281 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
35%
of losses by finish
7 of 20 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 4 Sub 13 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Renan Barao
Elo 1650 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
16.2
−1.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 35 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1552
1592
Notable wins
Renan Barao 1650 Dennis Bermudez 1605 Darren Elkins 1603

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jeremy Stephens on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.