HonestElo
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Jeremy Stephens

Active #75 lightweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1498 ±34
LCB 1453
Rank
#75
top 74% of division
UFC record
15-19-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 7
Streak
-6
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
May 3, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

34 fights · tap & drag
May 26, 2007 — L vs Din Thomas Δ-28Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Diego Saraiva Δ+26Jan 23, 2008 — W vs Cole Miller Δ+39Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-27Nov 15, 2008 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+32Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-16Apr 1, 2009 — L vs Gleison Tibau Δ-15Sep 16, 2009 — W vs Justin Buchholz Δ+15May 8, 2010 — W vs Sam Stout Δ+15Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-15Jan 1, 2011 — W vs Marcus Davis Δ+22Jun 4, 2011 — W vs Danny Downes Δ+14Oct 8, 2011 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-20May 15, 2012 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-13Dec 8, 2012 — L vs Yves Edwards Δ-17May 25, 2013 — W vs Estevan Payan Δ+16Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Rony Jason Δ+22Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+19Jun 28, 2014 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-13Dec 12, 2014 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-16Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Dennis Bermudez Δ+22Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-13May 29, 2016 — W vs Renan Barao Δ+21Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-11Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-16Sep 9, 2017 — W vs Gilbert Melendez Δ+12Jan 14, 2018 — W vs Dooho Choi Δ+19Feb 24, 2018 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+20Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Mar 2, 2019 — L vs Zabit Magomedsharipov Δ-14Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-12May 9, 2020 — L vs Calvin Kattar Δ-16Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ-20May 3, 2025 — L vs Mason Jones Δ-18 14321482153215821632 201020132016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":193.6,"elo":1472,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Din Thomas","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":39.5,"y":165.6,"elo":1498,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Diego Saraiva","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":55.5,"y":124.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":75,"y":152.9,"elo":1510,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":94.1,"y":118.9,"elo":1542,"date":"2008-11-15","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":105,"y":135.7,"elo":1526,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":111.9,"y":152.2,"elo":1511,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":133.8,"y":136.8,"elo":1525,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Justin Buchholz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":164.2,"y":120.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Sam Stout","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":182.4,"y":137.2,"elo":1525,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":195.1,"y":114,"elo":1547,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":11,"x":215.2,"y":99.3,"elo":1561,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Danny Downes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":231.5,"y":120.2,"elo":1541,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":13,"x":260.1,"y":134.6,"elo":1528,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":14,"x":287.1,"y":152.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2012-12-08","opp":"Yves Edwards","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":308.9,"y":136.1,"elo":1526,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Estevan Payan","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":330.8,"y":112.6,"elo":1548,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Rony Jason","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":17,"x":340.8,"y":93,"elo":1567,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":18,"x":360.8,"y":107.1,"elo":1553,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":382.5,"y":123.6,"elo":1538,"date":"2014-12-12","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":20,"x":409.9,"y":100.4,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":21,"x":430,"y":113.8,"elo":1547,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":22,"x":452,"y":91.9,"elo":1568,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Renan Barao","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":23,"x":473.7,"y":103.7,"elo":1557,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":24,"x":493.7,"y":120.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":25,"x":512.8,"y":107.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Gilbert Melendez","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":26,"x":529.3,"y":87.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2018-01-14","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":27,"x":534.7,"y":66.4,"elo":1592,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":28,"x":554.7,"y":81.3,"elo":1578,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":29,"x":582.9,"y":96.7,"elo":1563,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Zabit Magomedsharipov","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":30,"x":612.8,"y":109.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":31,"x":639.3,"y":126.4,"elo":1535,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":32,"x":695.8,"y":147.2,"elo":1516,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":33,"x":876,"y":166.1,"elo":1498,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Mason Jones","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 3, 2025 Mason Jones L -18
Jul 17, 2021 Mateusz Gamrot L -20
May 9, 2020 Calvin Kattar L -16
Oct 18, 2019 Yair Rodriguez L -12
Mar 2, 2019 Zabit Magomedsharipov L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.90 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.88 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.02 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
62% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.34 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
47%
7 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
7
47% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 7 (50%) 7
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
2 25%
R2
3 38%
R3
3 38%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
15.8
actual -1 vs expected