HonestElo
← welterweight

Anthony Pettis

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1611 ±36
LCB 1565
Rank
UFC record
11-9-0
KO 3 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d -16 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Dec 19, 2020
W by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Jun 4, 2011 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-23Oct 8, 2011 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+36Feb 25, 2012 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+43Jan 26, 2013 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+40Aug 31, 2013 — W vs Benson Henderson Δ+55Dec 6, 2014 — W vs Gilbert Melendez Δ+15Mar 14, 2015 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-21Jan 17, 2016 — L vs Eddie Alvarez Δ-22Apr 23, 2016 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Aug 27, 2016 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+18Dec 10, 2016 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-20Jul 8, 2017 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+17Nov 11, 2017 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-17Jul 7, 2018 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+19Oct 6, 2018 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-13Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+20Aug 17, 2019 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-16Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Diego Ferreira Δ-19May 9, 2020 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+19Dec 19, 2020 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+13 14371504157116381705 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204.3,"elo":1477,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":1,"x":54.8,"y":176.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":89,"y":142.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2012-02-25","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":3,"x":171.1,"y":111,"elo":1595,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":4,"x":224.2,"y":67.6,"elo":1650,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"W","delta":55},{"i":5,"x":337.1,"y":55.7,"elo":1665,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Gilbert Melendez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":361,"y":72,"elo":1644,"date":"2015-03-14","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":436.6,"y":89.1,"elo":1623,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":8,"x":460.3,"y":102.2,"elo":1606,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":491.1,"y":87.8,"elo":1624,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":516.7,"y":104,"elo":1604,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":11,"x":568,"y":90.2,"elo":1621,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":598.8,"y":103.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":657,"y":88.6,"elo":1623,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":679.3,"y":99.1,"elo":1610,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":15,"x":720.3,"y":83.4,"elo":1630,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":16,"x":756.2,"y":95.9,"elo":1614,"date":"2019-08-17","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":17,"x":793.9,"y":110.6,"elo":1596,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Diego Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":821.3,"y":96,"elo":1614,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":85.3,"elo":1628,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 19, 2020 Alex Morono W +13
May 9, 2020 Donald Cerrone W +19
Jan 18, 2020 Diego Ferreira L -19
Aug 17, 2019 Nate Diaz L -16
Mar 23, 2019 Stephen Thompson W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.02 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.62 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.47 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.65 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
64%
7 / 11
Finish rate
KO
3
27% of wins
SUB
4
36% of wins
DEC
4
36% of wins
KO: 3 (27%) 3 Sub: 4 (36%) 4 Dec: 4 (36%) 4
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1618
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.4
actual +2 vs expected