HonestElo
← lightweight

Max Holloway "Blessed"

Active #3 lightweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs Conor McGregor · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 56% of wins by KO or submission
  • Career-best 13-fight win streak
Elo rating
1676
Global Elo 1723 ±36
Rank
#3
top 2% of division
UFC record
23-9-0
KO 10 · Sub 2 · Dec 10
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
Loss by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
8h 53m
Avg fight time
16:39
Title fights
5-5
Bonuses
8
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

32 fights · tap & drag
Feb 4, 2012 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-25Jun 1, 2012 — W vs Pat Schilling Δ+28Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Justin Lawrence Δ+36Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Leonard Garcia Δ+21May 25, 2013 — L vs Dennis Bermudez Δ-30Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-15Jan 4, 2014 — W vs Will Chope Δ+18Apr 26, 2014 — W vs Andre Fili Δ+18Aug 23, 2014 — W vs Clay Collard Δ+16Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Akira Corassani Δ+17Feb 14, 2015 — W vs Cole Miller Δ+16Apr 18, 2015 — W vs Cub Swanson Δ+20Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+17Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+13Jun 4, 2016 — W vs Ricardo Lamas Δ+15Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Anthony Pettis Δ+21Jun 3, 2017 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+26Dec 2, 2017 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+22Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Brian Ortega Δ+18Apr 13, 2019 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-23Jul 27, 2019 — W vs Frankie Edgar Δ+18Dec 14, 2019 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-24Jul 11, 2020 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-21Jan 16, 2021 — W vs Calvin Kattar Δ+13Nov 13, 2021 — W vs Yair Rodriguez Δ+14Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-18Apr 15, 2023 — W vs Arnold Allen Δ+16Aug 26, 2023 — W vs Chan Sung Jung Δ+13Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Justin Gaethje Δ+15Oct 26, 2024 — L vs Ilia Topuria Δ-26Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+15Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-17 14001450150015501600165017001750 2015201820212024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":384.5,"elo":1428,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":106.5,"y":358.8,"elo":1456,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Pat Schilling","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":116.4,"y":325.9,"elo":1492,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Justin Lawrence","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":136,"y":306.7,"elo":1513,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Leonard Garcia","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":4,"x":156.6,"y":334.2,"elo":1483,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":168.4,"y":348.4,"elo":1467,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":188,"y":332.3,"elo":1485,"date":"2014-01-04","opp":"Will Chope","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":203.6,"y":315.7,"elo":1503,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":220.3,"y":301.3,"elo":1519,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Clay Collard","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":226.2,"y":286.2,"elo":1535,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Akira Corassani","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":244.8,"y":271.9,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":253.6,"y":253.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":271.4,"y":238,"elo":1588,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":286.9,"y":226.6,"elo":1601,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":311.4,"y":213.2,"elo":1615,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":337.8,"y":194.4,"elo":1636,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":16,"x":362.3,"y":170.9,"elo":1662,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":17,"x":387.8,"y":150.5,"elo":1684,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":18,"x":439.7,"y":134.3,"elo":1702,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":19,"x":457.3,"y":155.4,"elo":1679,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":20,"x":472,"y":138.5,"elo":1697,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":21,"x":491.6,"y":160.1,"elo":1673,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":22,"x":521,"y":179.2,"elo":1652,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":23,"x":547.5,"y":167.6,"elo":1665,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":24,"x":589.6,"y":154.9,"elo":1679,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":25,"x":621.9,"y":171.5,"elo":1661,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":26,"x":662.1,"y":157.2,"elo":1677,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":27,"x":680.7,"y":145.3,"elo":1690,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Chan Sung Jung","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":28,"x":713,"y":132.1,"elo":1704,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":29,"x":740.4,"y":155.8,"elo":1678,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Ilia Topuria","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":30,"x":777.7,"y":142.3,"elo":1693,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":31,"x":810,"y":157.7,"elo":1676,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Charles Oliveira L -17
Jul 19, 2025 Dustin Poirier W +15
Oct 26, 2024 Ilia Topuria L -26
Apr 13, 2024 Justin Gaethje W +15
Aug 26, 2023 Chan Sung Jung W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
52%
12 / 23
Finish rate
KO
10
43% of wins
SUB
2
9% of wins
DEC
10
43% of wins
KO: 10 (45%) 10 Sub: 2 (9%) 2 Dec: 10 (45%) 10
Finishes by round
13 total
R1
2 15%
R2
2 15%
R3
7 54%
R4
1 8%
R5
1 8%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 3681 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
22%
of losses by finish
2 of 9
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 7 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1682
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
13
of 23 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jose Aldo
Elo 1724 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
17.1
+5.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 32 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1589
1723
Notable wins
Jose Aldo ×2 1724 Dustin Poirier 1700 Arnold Allen 1699 Frankie Edgar 1697 Brian Ortega 1694 Yair Rodriguez 1668

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Grant Dawson
#6 · Elo 1642
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Max Holloway on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.