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Grant Dawson "KGD"

Active #6 lightweight · age 32 · Switch · 5'10" 178 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1642
Global Elo 1689 ±36
Rank
#6
top 6% of division
UFC record
12-2-1
KO 2 · Sub 5 · Dec 5
Streak
+1
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Win by Submission · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 50m
Avg fight time
11:19
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.1
Ground control
1h 50m
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Mar 9, 2019 — W vs Julian Erosa Δ+26May 18, 2019 — W vs Michael Trizano Δ+37Feb 29, 2020 — W vs Darrick Minner Δ+27Jul 18, 2020 — W vs Nad Narimani Δ+23Mar 20, 2021 — W vs Leonardo Santos Δ+38Oct 23, 2021 — D vs Ricky Glenn Δ-5Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Jared Gordon Δ+14Nov 5, 2022 — W vs Mark Madsen Δ+16Jul 1, 2023 — W vs Damir Ismagulov Δ+13Oct 7, 2023 — L vs King Green Δ-24Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Joe Solecki Δ+12Oct 12, 2024 — W vs Rafa Garcia Δ+11Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Diego Ferreira Δ+13Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Manuel Torres Δ-24May 9, 2026 — W vs Mateusz Rebecki Δ+12 145015001550160016501700 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":373,"elo":1479,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Julian Erosa","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":109.3,"y":325.9,"elo":1516,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Michael Trizano","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":188.2,"y":291,"elo":1543,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Darrick Minner","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":226.7,"y":261.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Nad Narimani","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":294.1,"y":212.9,"elo":1604,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Leonardo Santos","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":353.7,"y":218.8,"elo":1599,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Ricky Glenn","result":"D","delta":-5},{"i":6,"x":405.7,"y":201.1,"elo":1613,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":457.7,"y":180.5,"elo":1629,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Mark Madsen","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":523.2,"y":164,"elo":1642,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Damir Ismagulov","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":9,"x":550.1,"y":194.7,"elo":1618,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"King Green","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":10,"x":615.6,"y":179.1,"elo":1630,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Joe Solecki","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":11,"x":652.1,"y":165.4,"elo":1641,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Rafa Garcia","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":12,"x":679.1,"y":149.4,"elo":1654,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Diego Ferreira","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":767.6,"y":180.1,"elo":1630,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Manuel Torres","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":164.4,"elo":1642,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Mateusz Rebecki","result":"W","delta":12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 Mateusz Rebecki W +12
Dec 6, 2025 Manuel Torres L -24
Jan 18, 2025 Diego Ferreira W +13
Oct 12, 2024 Rafa Garcia W +11
Jun 1, 2024 Joe Solecki W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
2
17% of wins
SUB
5
42% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 2 (17%) 2 Sub: 5 (42%) 5 Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
R2
3 43%
R3
4 57%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 528 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Distance
  • Distance 50%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 40%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
2 of 2 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1573
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Leonardo Santos
Elo 1666 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.9
+3.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1460
1558
Notable wins
Leonardo Santos 1666 Mark Madsen 1616 Diego Ferreira 1611 Damir Ismagulov 1608

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Grant Dawson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.