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Donald Cerrone "Cowboy"

Inactive Retired · age 43 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
At a glance
  • 6-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 35% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1540
Global Elo 1583 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
23-14-0
KO 10 · Sub 6 · Dec 7
Streak
-6
Δ90d -7 · Δ1y -7
Last fight
Jul 2, 2022
Loss by Submission · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 42m
Avg fight time
9:14
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
22
Fights per year
3.2
Since last fight
3y 12mo

Honest Elo history

37 fights · tap & drag
Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Paul Kelly Δ+37Jun 11, 2011 — W vs Vagner Rocha Δ+26Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+31Oct 29, 2011 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+32Dec 30, 2011 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-30May 15, 2012 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+14Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+17Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-22May 25, 2013 — W vs KJ Noons Δ+11Aug 28, 2013 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+18Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Adriano Martins Δ+14Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+18Jul 16, 2014 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+20Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Eddie Alvarez Δ+9Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Myles Jury Δ+15Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Benson Henderson Δ+16May 23, 2015 — W vs John Makdessi Δ+11Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-26Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+12Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+10Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Rick Story Δ+14Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+11Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-25Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-19Oct 21, 2017 — L vs Darren Till Δ-24Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Yancy Medeiros Δ+13Jun 23, 2018 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-20Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+14Jan 19, 2019 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+13May 4, 2019 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+12Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-15Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-24Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-17May 9, 2020 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-18May 8, 2021 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-23Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-19 1450150015501600165017001750 20132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":370,"elo":1488,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Paul Kelly","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":111.8,"y":342.6,"elo":1513,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Vagner Rocha","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":122.8,"y":309.1,"elo":1545,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":136,"y":275,"elo":1577,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":146.7,"y":307.1,"elo":1547,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":170.4,"y":292.7,"elo":1560,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":185.6,"y":274.5,"elo":1577,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":214.6,"y":298.1,"elo":1555,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":8,"x":235.2,"y":286.1,"elo":1566,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"KJ Noons","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":251.6,"y":303.9,"elo":1550,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":265.5,"y":285.1,"elo":1567,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":277.6,"y":269.8,"elo":1581,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Adriano Martins","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":292.1,"y":251,"elo":1599,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":307.3,"y":230.1,"elo":1619,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":14,"x":319.9,"y":220.6,"elo":1628,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":15,"x":336.9,"y":204.5,"elo":1643,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":339.5,"y":187.8,"elo":1658,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":361.1,"y":176.5,"elo":1669,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"John Makdessi","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":18,"x":397.4,"y":204,"elo":1643,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":19,"x":408.4,"y":191.1,"elo":1655,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":20,"x":428.8,"y":180.7,"elo":1665,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":21,"x":439.7,"y":165.7,"elo":1679,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":459.1,"y":153.6,"elo":1690,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":23,"x":467.5,"y":180.6,"elo":1665,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":24,"x":499,"y":200.8,"elo":1646,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":25,"x":513.5,"y":226.5,"elo":1622,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Darren Till","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":26,"x":534.3,"y":212.3,"elo":1635,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":27,"x":555.9,"y":233.3,"elo":1616,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":28,"x":580.1,"y":218,"elo":1630,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":29,"x":592.2,"y":204,"elo":1643,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":30,"x":610.3,"y":190.9,"elo":1655,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":31,"x":616.4,"y":206.4,"elo":1641,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":32,"x":633.3,"y":231.9,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":33,"x":655.1,"y":249.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":34,"x":674.5,"y":269.4,"elo":1582,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":35,"x":737.4,"y":293.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":36,"x":810,"y":314,"elo":1540,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 2, 2022 Jim Miller L -19
May 8, 2021 Alex Morono L -23
May 9, 2020 Anthony Pettis L -18
Jan 18, 2020 Conor McGregor L -17
Sep 14, 2019 Justin Gaethje L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
16 / 23
Finish rate
KO
10
43% of wins
SUB
6
26% of wins
DEC
7
30% of wins
KO: 10 (43%) 10 Sub: 6 (26%) 6 Dec: 7 (30%) 7
Finishes by round
16 total
R1
8 50%
R2
6 38%
R3
2 13%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1635 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
64%
of losses by finish
9 of 14 · usually R1
8 KO/TKO 1 Sub 5 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1604
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 23 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Benson Henderson
Elo 1683 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
21.6
+1.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 37 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1540
1600
Notable wins
Benson Henderson 1683 Jim Miller 1671 Myles Jury 1659 Rick Story 1628 Edson Barboza 1618 Al Iaquinta 1612

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Donald Cerrone on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.