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Donald Cerrone "Cowboy"

Inactive Retired · age 43 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
At a glance
  • 6-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 35% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1540
Global Elo 1582 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
23-14-0 (1 NC)
KO 10 · Sub 6 · Dec 7
Streak
-6
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jul 2, 2022
Loss by Submission · R2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

38 fights · tap & drag
Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Paul Kelly Δ+37Jun 11, 2011 — W vs Vagner Rocha Δ+26Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+31Oct 29, 2011 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+32Dec 30, 2011 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-30May 15, 2012 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+14Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+17Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-22May 25, 2013 — W vs KJ Noons Δ+11Aug 28, 2013 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+18Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Adriano Martins Δ+14Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+18Jul 16, 2014 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+20Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Eddie Alvarez Δ+9Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Myles Jury Δ+15Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Benson Henderson Δ+16May 23, 2015 — W vs John Makdessi Δ+11Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-26Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+12Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+10Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Rick Story Δ+14Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+11Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-25Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-19Oct 21, 2017 — L vs Darren Till Δ-24Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Yancy Medeiros Δ+13Jun 23, 2018 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-20Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+14Jan 19, 2019 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+13May 4, 2019 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+12Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-15Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-24Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-17May 9, 2020 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-18Sep 19, 2020 — NC vs Niko Price Δ0May 8, 2021 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-23Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-19 1450150015501600165017001750 20132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":370.7,"elo":1487,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Paul Kelly","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":111.8,"y":343.3,"elo":1513,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Vagner Rocha","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":122.8,"y":309.8,"elo":1544,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":136,"y":275.7,"elo":1576,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":146.7,"y":307.8,"elo":1546,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":170.4,"y":293.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":185.6,"y":275.3,"elo":1576,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":214.6,"y":298.9,"elo":1554,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":8,"x":235.2,"y":286.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"KJ Noons","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":251.6,"y":304.6,"elo":1549,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":265.5,"y":285.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":277.6,"y":270.6,"elo":1581,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Adriano Martins","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":292.1,"y":251.7,"elo":1598,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":307.3,"y":230.8,"elo":1618,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":14,"x":319.9,"y":221.3,"elo":1627,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":15,"x":336.9,"y":205.2,"elo":1642,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":339.5,"y":188.6,"elo":1658,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":361.1,"y":177.3,"elo":1668,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"John Makdessi","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":18,"x":397.4,"y":204.8,"elo":1642,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":19,"x":408.4,"y":191.9,"elo":1655,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":20,"x":428.8,"y":180.8,"elo":1665,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":21,"x":439.7,"y":165.9,"elo":1679,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":459.1,"y":153.9,"elo":1690,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":23,"x":467.5,"y":180.9,"elo":1665,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":24,"x":499,"y":201.1,"elo":1646,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":25,"x":513.5,"y":226.9,"elo":1622,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Darren Till","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":26,"x":534.3,"y":212.7,"elo":1635,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":27,"x":555.9,"y":233.6,"elo":1615,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":28,"x":580.1,"y":218.4,"elo":1630,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":29,"x":592.2,"y":204.5,"elo":1643,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":30,"x":610.3,"y":191.2,"elo":1655,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":31,"x":616.4,"y":206.8,"elo":1641,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":32,"x":633.3,"y":232.3,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":33,"x":655.1,"y":250.2,"elo":1600,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":34,"x":674.5,"y":269.9,"elo":1581,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":35,"x":697.5,"y":269.9,"elo":1581,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"Niko Price","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":36,"x":737.4,"y":294.4,"elo":1558,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":37,"x":810,"y":314.5,"elo":1540,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 2, 2022 Jim Miller L -19
May 8, 2021 Alex Morono L -23
Sep 19, 2020 Niko Price NC 0
May 9, 2020 Anthony Pettis L -18
Jan 18, 2020 Conor McGregor L -17
18 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×7
  • Fight of the Night ×6
  • Knockout of the Night ×3
  • Submission of the Night ×2
$550,000 in bonus money, plus 7 at rates we can't cite

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Donald Cerrone has earned 18. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
16 / 23
Finish rate
KO
10
43% of wins
SUB
6
26% of wins
DEC
7
30% of wins
KO: 10 (43%) 10 Sub: 6 (26%) 6 Dec: 7 (30%) 7
Finishes by round
16 total
R1
8 50%
R2
6 38%
R3
2 13%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1748 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
64%
of losses by finish
9 of 14 · usually R1
8 KO/TKO 1 Sub 5 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1604
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 23 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Benson Henderson
Elo 1683 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
21.6
+1.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 38 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1540
1600
Notable wins
Benson Henderson 1683 Jim Miller 1671 Myles Jury 1659 Rick Story 1628 Edson Barboza 1618 Al Iaquinta 1612
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 57m
Avg fight time
9:23
Fights per year
3.3
Since last fight
4y 2mo
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
18
vs Compare Donald Cerrone with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Donald Cerrone on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.