HonestElo
← welterweight

Donald Cerrone

Inactive Retired · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 185 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
Elo rating
1583 ±32
LCB 1542
Rank
—
—
UFC record
23-14-0
KO 10 · Sub 6 · Dec 7
Streak
-6
Δ90d -7 · Δ1y -7
Last fight
Jul 2, 2022
L by Submission

Elo history

37 fights · tap & drag
Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Paul Kelly Δ+37Jun 11, 2011 — W vs Vagner Rocha Δ+26Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+31Oct 29, 2011 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+32Dec 30, 2011 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-30May 15, 2012 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+14Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+17Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-22May 25, 2013 — W vs KJ Noons Δ+11Aug 28, 2013 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+18Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Adriano Martins Δ+14Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+18Jul 16, 2014 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+20Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Eddie Alvarez Δ+9Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Myles Jury Δ+15Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Benson Henderson Δ+16May 23, 2015 — W vs John Makdessi Δ+11Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-26Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+12Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+10Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Rick Story Δ+14Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+11Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-25Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-19Oct 21, 2017 — L vs Darren Till Δ-24Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Yancy Medeiros Δ+13Jun 23, 2018 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-20Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+14Jan 19, 2019 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+13May 4, 2019 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+12Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-15Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-24Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-17May 9, 2020 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-18May 8, 2021 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-23Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-19 14971568163817091780 20132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":206,"elo":1537,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Paul Kelly","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":49.8,"y":186.8,"elo":1563,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Vagner Rocha","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":62.9,"y":163.2,"elo":1594,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":78.4,"y":139.3,"elo":1626,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":91.1,"y":161.8,"elo":1596,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":119.1,"y":151.7,"elo":1610,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":137.1,"y":139,"elo":1627,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":171.5,"y":155.5,"elo":1604,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":8,"x":195.8,"y":147,"elo":1616,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"KJ Noons","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":215.3,"y":159.6,"elo":1599,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":231.6,"y":146.4,"elo":1617,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":245.9,"y":135.7,"elo":1631,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Adriano Martins","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":263.1,"y":122.4,"elo":1649,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":281.1,"y":107.7,"elo":1668,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":14,"x":296.1,"y":101.1,"elo":1677,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":15,"x":316.1,"y":89.7,"elo":1692,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":319.2,"y":78,"elo":1708,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":344.8,"y":70.1,"elo":1718,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"John Makdessi","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":18,"x":387.7,"y":89.4,"elo":1693,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":19,"x":400.8,"y":80.4,"elo":1705,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":20,"x":424.9,"y":73,"elo":1715,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":21,"x":437.8,"y":62.5,"elo":1729,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":460.7,"y":54,"elo":1740,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":23,"x":470.8,"y":72.9,"elo":1715,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":24,"x":508,"y":87.2,"elo":1696,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":25,"x":525.2,"y":105.2,"elo":1672,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Darren Till","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":26,"x":549.7,"y":95.3,"elo":1685,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":27,"x":575.3,"y":110,"elo":1665,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":28,"x":603.9,"y":99.2,"elo":1680,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":29,"x":618.3,"y":89.4,"elo":1693,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":30,"x":639.7,"y":80.2,"elo":1705,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":31,"x":646.9,"y":91.1,"elo":1690,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":32,"x":666.9,"y":109,"elo":1667,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":33,"x":692.7,"y":121.6,"elo":1650,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":34,"x":715.6,"y":135.4,"elo":1631,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":35,"x":790.1,"y":152.5,"elo":1608,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":36,"x":876,"y":166.7,"elo":1590,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 2, 2022 Jim Miller L -19
May 8, 2021 Alex Morono L -23
May 9, 2020 Anthony Pettis L -18
Jan 18, 2020 Conor McGregor L -17
Sep 14, 2019 Justin Gaethje L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.19 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.29 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.92 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
88% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.42 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
16 / 23
Finish rate
KO
10
43% of wins
SUB
6
26% of wins
DEC
7
30% of wins
KO: 10 (43%) 10 Sub: 6 (26%) 6 Dec: 7 (30%) 7
Finishes by round
16 total
R1
8 50%
R2
6 38%
R3
2 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1604
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
21.6
actual +1 vs expected