HonestElo
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Fares Ziam

Active #16 lightweight · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1613 ±26
LCB 1580
Rank
#16
top 15% of division
UFC record
8-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
+6
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Sep 7, 2019 — L vs Don Madge Δ-26Oct 17, 2020 — W vs Jamie Mullarkey Δ+29Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Luigi Vendramini Δ+29Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Terrance McKinney Δ-33Sep 3, 2022 — W vs Michal Figlak Δ+29Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Jai Herbert Δ+15Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Claudio Puelles Δ+18Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Matt Frevola Δ+17Feb 1, 2025 — W vs Mike Davis Δ+17Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Nazim Sadykhov Δ+19 14341489154415991653 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.4,"elo":1474,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Don Madge","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":175.6,"y":169.7,"elo":1503,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Jamie Mullarkey","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":264.4,"y":141.3,"elo":1532,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Luigi Vendramini","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":361.1,"y":173.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Terrance McKinney","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":431.7,"y":145.2,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Michal Figlak","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":551.9,"y":131.1,"elo":1543,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Jai Herbert","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":632.9,"y":114,"elo":1560,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Claudio Puelles","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":714,"y":97.4,"elo":1577,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Matt Frevola","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":761,"y":81.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Mike Davis","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":62.6,"elo":1613,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Nazim Sadykhov","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Nazim Sadykhov W +19
Feb 1, 2025 Mike Davis W +17
Sep 28, 2024 Matt Frevola W +17
Feb 24, 2024 Claudio Puelles W +18
Jul 22, 2023 Jai Herbert W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.76 avg 4.10
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.47 avg 3.45
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.67 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
71% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.44 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
2 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
75% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (75%) 6
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1564
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.9
actual +3 vs expected