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✓ Yaroslav Amosov won · by Submission · R2
welterweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA
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Corner A
Joel Alvarez
#34 8-4-0
Elo 1554
VS
Corner B
Yaroslav Amosov
2-0-0
Elo 1554
Final result · recorded May 10, 2026
Yaroslav Amosov
defeated Joel Alvarez by Submission in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 33.3% · Yaroslav Amosov 66.7%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 63.8% · Yaroslav Amosov 36.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 12
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Main event · middleweight Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta heavyweight Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley welterweight King Green vs Jeremy Stephens lightweight Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki lightweight Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon lightweight Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio middleweight Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis featherweight Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos middleweight Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa flyweight

Notable

Alvarez

Finishes 88% of wins (4 KO · 3 SUB; 50% of wins end in round 1).

Amosov

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

8-4-0 UFC record 2-0-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 2
-2 Streak +2
32 Age 32
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
77" 196 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1609 Global Elo 1580
1554 Elo rating 1554
Joel Alvarez — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 88% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Yaroslav Amosov — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 2 submissions in a row
  • 100% of wins by submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1

Joel Alvarez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 458 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 12%

Yaroslav Amosov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 25 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 4%
  • Leg 40%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 12%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.59
2.65
div avg 4.23
53%
53%
div avg 50%
4.13
1.38
div avg 3.15
48%
61%
div avg 56%
0.15
11.11
div avg 1.89
33%
54%
div avg 43%
48%
—
div avg 71%
0.90
3.17
div avg 0.43
1
9
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Joel Alvarez
88% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 3
can finish?
Yaroslav Amosov
finished —
no losses
Yaroslav Amosov
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 2
can finish?
Joel Alvarez
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Yaroslav Amosov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1657 vs 1578, 2 quality wins to 2.

Joel Alvarez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1578
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vicente Luque
Elo 1651 at fight time
Expected wins
6.4
+1.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1529
1494
Notable wins
Vicente Luque 1651 Drakkar Klose 1641
Yaroslav Amosov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1657
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Neil Magny
Elo 1659 at fight time
Expected wins
0.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1659
1655
Notable wins
Neil Magny 1659 Joel Alvarez 1655
Corner A recent form
Joel Alvarez
Corner B recent form
Yaroslav Amosov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Joel Alvarez & Yaroslav Amosov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.