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Yaroslav Amosov won · by Submission · R2
Final result · recorded May 10, 2026
Yaroslav Amosov
defeated Joel Alvarez by Submission in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 33.3% · Yaroslav Amosov 66.7%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 63.8% · Yaroslav Amosov 36.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Tale of the tape

8-3-0 UFC record 2-0-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 2
-1 Streak +2
32 Age 32
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
77" 196 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1631 Global Elo 1581
1589 Elo rating 1555
Joel Alvarez — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 88% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Yaroslav Amosov — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 2 submissions in a row
  • 100% of wins by submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1

Joel Alvarez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 384 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 14%

Yaroslav Amosov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 25 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 4%
  • Leg 40%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 12%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.53
2.65
div avg 4.04
55%
53%
div avg 50%
3.03
1.38
div avg 3.06
54%
61%
div avg 56%
0.18
11.11
div avg 2.25
33%
54%
div avg 42%
46%
div avg 72%
1.06
3.17
div avg 0.54
2
9
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Joel Alvarez
88% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 3
can finish?
Yaroslav Amosov
finished
no losses
Yaroslav Amosov
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 2
can finish?
Joel Alvarez
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Yaroslav Amosov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1657 vs 1582, 2 quality wins to 2.

Joel Alvarez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1582
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vicente Luque
Elo 1651 at fight time
Expected wins
5.7
+2.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1529
1547
Yaroslav Amosov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1657
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Neil Magny
Elo 1659 at fight time
Expected wins
0.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1659
1655
Corner A recent form
Joel Alvarez
Corner B recent form
Yaroslav Amosov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Joel Alvarez & Yaroslav Amosov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.