Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight MainKhamzat ChimaevvsSean Strickland
- 2flyweightJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsJeremy Stephens
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 9lightweightJim MillervsJared Gordon
- 10middleweightRoman KopylovvsMarco Tulio
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 33.3% · Yaroslav Amosov 66.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Joel Alvarez 63.8% · Yaroslav Amosov 36.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Tale of the tape
| 8-3-0 | UFC record | 2-0-0 |
| KO 4 · Sub 3 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | +2 |
| 32 | Age | 32 |
| 6'3" 191 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 77" 196 cm | Reach | 75" 191 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1631 | Global Elo | 1581 |
| 1589 | Elo rating | 1555 |
Joel Alvarez — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 88% of wins by KO or submission
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Yaroslav Amosov — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 2 submissions in a row
- 100% of wins by submission
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Joel Alvarez — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 384 landed total · career
- Head 69%
- Body 20%
- Leg 11%
- Distance 74%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 14%
Yaroslav Amosov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 25 landed total · career
- Head 56%
- Body 4%
- Leg 40%
- Distance 68%
- Clinch 20%
- Ground 12%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniel Rodriguez7.20
- 3Billy Ray Goff7.11
- 4Jacobe Smith6.85
- 5Kevin Jousset6.61
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Gunnar Nelson61%
- 4Shavkat Rakhmonov60%
- 5Chidi Njokuani60%
- 1Jeremiah Wells1.28
- 2Islam Makhachev1.45
- 3Michael Page1.57
- 4Michael Chiesa1.73
- 5Themba Gorimbo1.75
- 1Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 2Muslim Salikhov62%
- 3Islam Makhachev62%
- 4Michael Page62%
- 5Santiago Ponzinibbio62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.77
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai59%
- 5Mike Malott57%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Ramiz Brahimaj1.60
- 3Mickey Gall1.58
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 2Myktybek Orolbai8.04
- 3Jeremiah Wells7.96
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Yaroslav Amosov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1657 vs 1582, 2 quality wins to 2.
- May 9, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- Dec 14, 2024
- Aug 3, 2024
- Jul 22, 2023
- May 9, 2026
- Dec 13, 2025