HonestElo
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Chase Hooper

Active #49 lightweight · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1548 ±39
LCB 1498
Rank
#49
top 48% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 4 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -23 · Δ1y -26
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 14, 2019 — W vs Daniel Teymur Δ+28Jun 6, 2020 — L vs Alex Caceres Δ-31Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Peter Barrett Δ+31Jun 12, 2021 — L vs Steven Peterson Δ-33May 21, 2022 — W vs Felipe Colares Δ+32Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Steve Garcia Δ-21May 20, 2023 — W vs Nick Fiore Δ+14Nov 18, 2023 — W vs Jordan Leavitt Δ+20May 11, 2024 — W vs Viacheslav Borshchev Δ+17Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+17Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+18Aug 16, 2025 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-21Mar 28, 2026 — L vs Lance Gibson Jr. Δ-23 14551500154415881632 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":148.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Daniel Teymur","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":88.9,"y":185.8,"elo":1497,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":159.1,"y":148.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Peter Barrett","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":226.6,"y":188,"elo":1495,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Steven Peterson","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":353.9,"y":149.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Felipe Colares","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":413.6,"y":175.1,"elo":1506,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Steve Garcia","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":489,"y":157.8,"elo":1521,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Nick Fiore","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":556.5,"y":134,"elo":1540,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Jordan Leavitt","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":621.4,"y":113.7,"elo":1557,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Viacheslav Borshchev","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":699.4,"y":93.9,"elo":1574,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":746.1,"y":72,"elo":1592,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":792.9,"y":96.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":124.9,"elo":1548,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Lance Gibson Jr.","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Lance Gibson Jr. L -23
Aug 16, 2025 Alexander Hernandez L -21
Apr 12, 2025 Jim Miller W +18
Dec 7, 2024 Clay Guida W +17
May 11, 2024 Viacheslav Borshchev W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.86 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.74 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.42 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
34% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.73 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
4
50% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 4 (50%) 4 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
1 17%
R3
2 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual +1 vs expected