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Josh Emmett

Active #25 featherweight · age 41 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 30% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1537
Global Elo 1587 ±39
Rank
#25
top 31% of division
UFC record
10-7-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -40
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 31m
Avg fight time
12:26
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
May 8, 2016 — W vs Jon Tuck Δ+32Dec 17, 2016 — W vs Scott Holtzman Δ+28Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Desmond Green Δ-34Oct 21, 2017 — W vs Felipe Arantes Δ+29Dec 16, 2017 — W vs Ricardo Lamas Δ+41Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Jeremy Stephens Δ-20Mar 30, 2019 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+18Jul 13, 2019 — W vs Mirsad Bektic Δ+19Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Shane Burgos Δ+16Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Dan Ige Δ+15Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Calvin Kattar Δ+15Feb 11, 2023 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-22Jun 24, 2023 — L vs Ilia Topuria Δ-15Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Bryce Mitchell Δ+19Apr 5, 2025 — L vs Lerone Murphy Δ-15Oct 4, 2025 — L vs Youssef Zalal Δ-21Mar 14, 2026 — L vs Kevin Vallejos Δ-19 14501500155016001650 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":359.6,"elo":1482,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Jon Tuck","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":1,"x":134.6,"y":314.8,"elo":1510,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Scott Holtzman","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":157.1,"y":368.7,"elo":1476,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Desmond Green","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":196.3,"y":322.8,"elo":1505,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Felipe Arantes","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":207.5,"y":257.2,"elo":1546,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":5,"x":221.5,"y":288.6,"elo":1526,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":301.4,"y":259.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":322.4,"y":229.2,"elo":1563,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Mirsad Bektic","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":391.1,"y":203.9,"elo":1579,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Shane Burgos","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":498.9,"y":179.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":536.8,"y":155.1,"elo":1609,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":584.4,"y":190.5,"elo":1587,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":611,"y":214.2,"elo":1572,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Ilia Topuria","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":646.1,"y":183.1,"elo":1592,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Bryce Mitchell","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":741.3,"y":206.8,"elo":1577,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Lerone Murphy","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":15,"x":777.8,"y":240.9,"elo":1556,"date":"2025-10-04","opp":"Youssef Zalal","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":270.8,"elo":1537,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Kevin Vallejos","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Kevin Vallejos L -19
Oct 4, 2025 Youssef Zalal L -21
Apr 5, 2025 Lerone Murphy L -15
Dec 16, 2023 Bryce Mitchell W +19
Jun 24, 2023 Ilia Topuria L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
4
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 4 (40%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 775 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
57%
of losses by finish
4 of 7 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 2 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1629
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Bryce Mitchell
Elo 1642 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.5
+1.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1536
1601
Notable wins
Bryce Mitchell 1642 Ricardo Lamas 1640 Calvin Kattar 1631 Dan Ige 1610 Mirsad Bektic 1609 Shane Burgos 1608

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Josh Emmett on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.