HonestElo
← welterweight

Francisco Trinaldo

Inactive · Southpaw · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1620 ±36
LCB 1573
Rank
—
—
UFC record
18-8-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 11
Streak
-1
Δ90d -19 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Oct 1, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

26 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2012 — W vs Delson Heleno Δ+33Oct 13, 2012 — L vs Gleison Tibau Δ-25Jan 19, 2013 — W vs CJ Keith Δ+29May 18, 2013 — W vs Mike Rio Δ+32Sep 4, 2013 — L vs Piotr Hallmann Δ-40Feb 15, 2014 — W vs Jesse Ronson Δ+13May 24, 2014 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-15Sep 13, 2014 — W vs Leandro Silva Δ+14Mar 21, 2015 — W vs Akbarh Arreola Δ+15May 30, 2015 — W vs Norman Parke Δ+18Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Chad Laprise Δ+19Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+16May 14, 2016 — W vs Yancy Medeiros Δ+12Sep 24, 2016 — W vs Paul Felder Δ+13Mar 11, 2017 — L vs Kevin Lee Δ-19Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+16Feb 18, 2018 — L vs James Vick Δ-14Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+17Jul 20, 2019 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-20Nov 16, 2019 — W vs King Green Δ+13Mar 14, 2020 — W vs John Makdessi Δ+13Jul 25, 2020 — W vs Jai Herbert Δ+11Jun 5, 2021 — L vs Muslim Salikhov Δ-18Oct 23, 2021 — W vs Dwight Grant Δ+12May 7, 2022 — W vs Danny Roberts Δ+12Oct 1, 2022 — L vs Randy Brown Δ-18 14681525158316401697 20142016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":175.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Delson Heleno","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":49.4,"y":199,"elo":1508,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":71.7,"y":172.1,"elo":1537,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"CJ Keith","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":98.7,"y":142.1,"elo":1570,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Mike Rio","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":123.5,"y":178.8,"elo":1530,"date":"2013-09-04","opp":"Piotr Hallmann","result":"L","delta":-40},{"i":5,"x":160.7,"y":166.5,"elo":1543,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Jesse Ronson","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":183,"y":180.5,"elo":1528,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":208.4,"y":168,"elo":1542,"date":"2014-09-13","opp":"Leandro Silva","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":251.3,"y":154.6,"elo":1556,"date":"2015-03-21","opp":"Akbarh Arreola","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":267.2,"y":138.3,"elo":1574,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Norman Parke","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":286.5,"y":120.6,"elo":1593,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Chad Laprise","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":319.9,"y":105.9,"elo":1609,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":346.7,"y":94.6,"elo":1621,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":376.9,"y":82.1,"elo":1634,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":415,"y":100,"elo":1615,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":467.5,"y":85.1,"elo":1631,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":493.1,"y":98.4,"elo":1617,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"James Vick","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":17,"x":542.2,"y":82.8,"elo":1634,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":610.5,"y":100.9,"elo":1614,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":19,"x":637.6,"y":88.7,"elo":1627,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"King Green","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":20,"x":664.6,"y":76.6,"elo":1640,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"John Makdessi","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":21,"x":694.8,"y":66,"elo":1652,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Jai Herbert","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":22,"x":766.3,"y":82.7,"elo":1634,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Muslim Salikhov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":23,"x":798.1,"y":71.8,"elo":1646,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Dwight Grant","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":24,"x":842.6,"y":61,"elo":1657,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Danny Roberts","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":25,"x":876,"y":78,"elo":1639,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 1, 2022 Randy Brown L -18
May 7, 2022 Danny Roberts W +12
Oct 23, 2021 Dwight Grant W +12
Jun 5, 2021 Muslim Salikhov L -18
Jul 25, 2020 Jai Herbert W +11

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.97 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.53 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.93 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.49 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
6 / 18
Finish rate
KO
4
22% of wins
SUB
2
11% of wins
DEC
11
61% of wins
KO: 4 (24%) 4 Sub: 2 (12%) 2 Dec: 11 (65%) 11
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
2 29%
R3
2 29%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1560
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
14.3
actual +4 vs expected