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Thiago Moises

Active #48 lightweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1548 ±36
LCB 1500
Rank
#48
top 47% of division
UFC record
8-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
May 17, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Nov 10, 2018 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-21May 11, 2019 — W vs Kurt Holobaugh Δ+24Aug 31, 2019 — L vs Damir Ismagulov Δ-24May 13, 2020 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+38Oct 31, 2020 — W vs King Green Δ+34Feb 27, 2021 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+17Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-13Nov 13, 2021 — L vs Joel Alvarez Δ-17Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Christos Giagos Δ+17Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Melquizael Costa Δ+16Sep 2, 2023 — L vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ-18Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Mitch Ramirez Δ+16Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Ludovit Klein Δ-16Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Trey Ogden Δ+15May 17, 2025 — L vs Jared Gordon Δ-19 14391482152415671610 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.9,"elo":1479,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":89.2,"y":156.1,"elo":1503,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Kurt Holobaugh","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":129.2,"y":186.4,"elo":1479,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Damir Ismagulov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":220.9,"y":139,"elo":1517,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":282.1,"y":96.4,"elo":1552,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"King Green","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":324.7,"y":75.4,"elo":1568,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":374.8,"y":91.9,"elo":1555,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":417.4,"y":113.3,"elo":1538,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Joel Alvarez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":497.6,"y":92.8,"elo":1554,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":572.8,"y":73.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Melquizael Costa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":653,"y":96,"elo":1552,"date":"2023-09-02","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":723.1,"y":76.5,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Mitch Ramirez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":753.2,"y":96.6,"elo":1551,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":830.9,"y":77.7,"elo":1567,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Trey Ogden","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":101.3,"elo":1548,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 17, 2025 Jared Gordon L -19
Jan 11, 2025 Trey Ogden W +15
Jun 8, 2024 Ludovit Klein L -16
Mar 16, 2024 Mitch Ramirez W +16
Sep 2, 2023 Benoit Saint Denis L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.10 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.70 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.22 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.05 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
2 50%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1546
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.2
actual +1 vs expected