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Thiago Moises

Active #50 lightweight · age 31 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2018
Elo rating
1480
Global Elo 1529 ±38
Rank
#50
top 56% of division
UFC record
8-8-0
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d -18 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
Apr 18, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 2m
Avg fight time
11:22
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.2
Ground control
40m
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

16 fights · tap & drag
Nov 10, 2018 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-21May 11, 2019 — W vs Kurt Holobaugh Δ+24Aug 31, 2019 — L vs Damir Ismagulov Δ-24May 13, 2020 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+38Oct 31, 2020 — W vs King Green Δ+34Feb 27, 2021 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+17Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-13Nov 13, 2021 — L vs Joel Alvarez Δ-17Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Christos Giagos Δ+17Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Melquizael Costa Δ+16Sep 2, 2023 — L vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ-18Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Mitch Ramirez Δ+16Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Ludovit Klein Δ-16Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Trey Ogden Δ+15May 17, 2025 — L vs Jared Gordon Δ-19Apr 18, 2026 — L vs Gauge Young Δ-18 1400142514501475150015251550 2020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":346,"elo":1430,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":138.2,"y":294.6,"elo":1454,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Kurt Holobaugh","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":167.9,"y":346.9,"elo":1430,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Damir Ismagulov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":235.8,"y":265.1,"elo":1468,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":281.1,"y":191.8,"elo":1502,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"King Green","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":312.7,"y":155.7,"elo":1519,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":349.8,"y":184.1,"elo":1506,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":381.3,"y":221,"elo":1489,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Joel Alvarez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":440.7,"y":185.6,"elo":1505,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":496.4,"y":152.5,"elo":1521,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Melquizael Costa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":555.8,"y":191.1,"elo":1503,"date":"2023-09-02","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":607.7,"y":157.6,"elo":1518,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Mitch Ramirez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":630,"y":192.2,"elo":1502,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":687.5,"y":159.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Trey Ogden","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":720.9,"y":200.3,"elo":1498,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":810,"y":239.1,"elo":1480,"date":"2026-04-18","opp":"Gauge Young","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 18, 2026 Gauge Young L -18
May 17, 2025 Jared Gordon L -19
Jan 11, 2025 Trey Ogden W +15
Jun 8, 2024 Ludovit Klein L -16
Mar 16, 2024 Mitch Ramirez W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
2 50%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 433 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 19%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
4 of 8 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 1 Sub 4 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1531
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
King Green
Elo 1586 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.8
+0.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 16 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1600
1500

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Thiago Moises on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.