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King Green

Active #15 lightweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 3 finishes in a row
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1577
Global Elo 1621 ±34
Rank
#15
top 16% of division
UFC record
17-12-1 (1 NC)
KO 5 · Sub 3 · Dec 9
Streak
+4
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +57
Last fight
Jul 11, 2026
Win by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

31 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Jacob Volkmann Δ+40Nov 6, 2013 — W vs James Krause Δ+33Dec 14, 2013 — W vs Pat Healy Δ+19Jul 26, 2014 — W vs Josh Thomson Δ+26Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-29Jun 4, 2016 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-15Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Rashid Magomedov Δ-15Oct 7, 2017 — D vs Lando Vannata Δ-3Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Erik Koch Δ+14Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Drakkar Klose Δ-16Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-13Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+16Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Lando Vannata Δ+13Sep 12, 2020 — W vs Alan Patrick Δ+16Oct 31, 2020 — L vs Thiago Moises Δ-19Aug 7, 2021 — L vs Rafael Fiziev Δ-16Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+20Feb 12, 2022 — W vs Nasrat Haqparast Δ+15Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-13Dec 17, 2022 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-18Apr 22, 2023 — NC vs Jared Gordon Δ0Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+23Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Grant Dawson Δ+24Dec 2, 2023 — L vs Jalin Turner Δ-20Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Paddy Pimblett Δ-16Mar 8, 2025 — L vs Mauricio Ruffy Δ-20Dec 13, 2025 — W vs Lance Gibson Jr. Δ+13Feb 28, 2026 — W vs Daniel Zellhuber Δ+15May 9, 2026 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+14Jul 11, 2026 — W vs Terrance McKinney Δ+16 147515001525155015751600 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":358.5,"elo":1495,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Jacob Volkmann","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":1,"x":130.6,"y":274.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"James Krause","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":136.2,"y":225.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Pat Healy","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":3,"x":169.1,"y":160.1,"elo":1573,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Josh Thomson","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":186.5,"y":233.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":268.7,"y":273,"elo":1529,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":314.9,"y":311.4,"elo":1514,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Rashid Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":340.6,"y":318.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Lando Vannata","result":"D","delta":-3},{"i":8,"x":357,"y":282.5,"elo":1525,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Erik Koch","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":404.3,"y":324.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Drakkar Klose","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":453.6,"y":358.3,"elo":1495,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":11,"x":485.4,"y":316,"elo":1512,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":491.6,"y":282,"elo":1525,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Lando Vannata","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":497.8,"y":240,"elo":1541,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":505,"y":288.9,"elo":1522,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Thiago Moises","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":546,"y":329.4,"elo":1507,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":16,"x":559.4,"y":277.9,"elo":1527,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":573.8,"y":240.5,"elo":1541,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Nasrat Haqparast","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":575.8,"y":273.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":619,"y":318.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":20,"x":637.4,"y":318.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":21,"x":651.8,"y":260.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":22,"x":662.1,"y":198.8,"elo":1558,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":23,"x":670.3,"y":250.5,"elo":1537,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":24,"x":689.8,"y":204.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":25,"x":705.2,"y":245.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Paddy Pimblett","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":26,"x":738.1,"y":296.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Mauricio Ruffy","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":27,"x":779.2,"y":262.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Lance Gibson Jr.","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":28,"x":790.5,"y":223.9,"elo":1548,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Daniel Zellhuber","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":29,"x":800.8,"y":189.3,"elo":1561,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":30,"x":810,"y":149.6,"elo":1577,"date":"2026-07-11","opp":"Terrance McKinney","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 11, 2026 Terrance McKinney W +16
May 9, 2026 Jeremy Stephens W +14
Feb 28, 2026 Daniel Zellhuber W +15
Dec 13, 2025 Lance Gibson Jr. W +13
Mar 8, 2025 Mauricio Ruffy L -20
9 post-fight bonuses
  • Fight of the Night ×4
  • Performance of the Night ×4
  • Submission of the Night ×1
$450,000 in bonus money, plus 1 at rates we can't cite

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. King Green has earned 9. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
47%
8 / 17
Finish rate
KO
5
29% of wins
SUB
3
18% of wins
DEC
9
53% of wins
KO: 5 (29%) 5 Sub: 3 (18%) 3 Dec: 9 (53%) 9
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
5 63%
R2
1 13%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2124 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
6 of 12 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 1 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 17 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Grant Dawson
Elo 1689 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
15.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 31 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1568
1551
Notable wins
Grant Dawson 1689 Tony Ferguson 1637 Jim Miller 1626
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 22m
Avg fight time
10:24
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
1mo
Bonuses
9
vs Compare King Green with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Justin Gaethje C
#3 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#4 · Elo 1661
Quillan Salkilld
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from King Green on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.