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King Green

Active #23 lightweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs Terrance McKinney · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1555
Global Elo 1606 ±39
Rank
#23
top 25% of division
UFC record
16-12-1
KO 4 · Sub 3 · Dec 9
Streak
+3
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +42
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Win by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 13m
Avg fight time
10:47
Bonuses
11
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

29 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Jacob Volkmann Δ+40Nov 6, 2013 — W vs James Krause Δ+33Dec 14, 2013 — W vs Pat Healy Δ+19Jul 26, 2014 — W vs Josh Thomson Δ+26Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-29Jun 4, 2016 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-15Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Rashid Magomedov Δ-15Oct 7, 2017 — D vs Lando Vannata Δ-3Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Erik Koch Δ+14Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Drakkar Klose Δ-16Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-13Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+16Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Lando Vannata Δ+13Sep 12, 2020 — W vs Alan Patrick Δ+16Oct 31, 2020 — L vs Thiago Moises Δ-19Aug 7, 2021 — L vs Rafael Fiziev Δ-16Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+20Feb 12, 2022 — W vs Nasrat Haqparast Δ+15Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-13Dec 17, 2022 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-18Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+23Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Grant Dawson Δ+24Dec 2, 2023 — L vs Jalin Turner Δ-20Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Paddy Pimblett Δ-16Mar 8, 2025 — L vs Mauricio Ruffy Δ-20Dec 13, 2025 — W vs Lance Gibson Jr. Δ+13Feb 28, 2026 — W vs Daniel Zellhuber Δ+15May 9, 2026 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+14 1450147515001525155015751600 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":326.4,"elo":1489,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Jacob Volkmann","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":1,"x":131.2,"y":256.6,"elo":1522,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"James Krause","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":136.8,"y":215.9,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Pat Healy","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":3,"x":170.1,"y":161,"elo":1567,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Josh Thomson","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":187.8,"y":222.5,"elo":1538,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":271,"y":255.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":317.9,"y":287.1,"elo":1508,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Rashid Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":343.9,"y":293.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Lando Vannata","result":"D","delta":-3},{"i":8,"x":360.5,"y":263,"elo":1519,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Erik Koch","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":408.4,"y":298,"elo":1503,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Drakkar Klose","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":458.3,"y":326.2,"elo":1489,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":11,"x":490.6,"y":291.2,"elo":1506,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":496.8,"y":262.6,"elo":1519,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Lando Vannata","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":503.1,"y":227.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":510.3,"y":268.3,"elo":1516,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Thiago Moises","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":552,"y":302.3,"elo":1501,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":16,"x":565.5,"y":259.4,"elo":1521,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":580.1,"y":228,"elo":1535,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Nasrat Haqparast","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":582.1,"y":255.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":625.8,"y":292.9,"elo":1505,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":20,"x":659.1,"y":244.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":21,"x":669.5,"y":193.3,"elo":1552,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":22,"x":677.9,"y":236.6,"elo":1531,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":23,"x":697.6,"y":198.2,"elo":1549,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":24,"x":713.2,"y":231.9,"elo":1534,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Paddy Pimblett","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":25,"x":746.5,"y":274.3,"elo":1514,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Mauricio Ruffy","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":26,"x":788.2,"y":246.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Lance Gibson Jr.","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":27,"x":799.6,"y":214.2,"elo":1542,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Daniel Zellhuber","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":28,"x":810,"y":185.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 Jeremy Stephens W +14
Feb 28, 2026 Daniel Zellhuber W +15
Dec 13, 2025 Lance Gibson Jr. W +13
Mar 8, 2025 Mauricio Ruffy L -20
Jul 27, 2024 Paddy Pimblett L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
7 / 16
Finish rate
KO
4
25% of wins
SUB
3
19% of wins
DEC
9
56% of wins
KO: 4 (25%) 4 Sub: 3 (19%) 3 Dec: 9 (56%) 9
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
1 14%
R3
2 29%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2058 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
6 of 12 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 1 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1543
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Grant Dawson
Elo 1689 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
14.6
+1.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 29 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1568
1498
Notable wins
Grant Dawson 1689 Tony Ferguson 1637 Jim Miller 1626

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from King Green on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.