HonestElo
← lightweight

Rongzhu

Active #84 lightweight
Elo rating
1497 ±41
LCB 1443
Rank
#84
top 83% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Aug 23, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Kazula Vargas Δ-31Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Brandon Jenkins Δ+36Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ-32Sep 7, 2024 — L vs Chris Padilla Δ-24Feb 8, 2025 — W vs Kody Steele Δ+33Aug 23, 2025 — W vs Austin Hubbard Δ+15 14091443147715111545 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":142.8,"elo":1469,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Kazula Vargas","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":103.2,"y":86.4,"elo":1505,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Brandon Jenkins","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":189.9,"y":136.2,"elo":1473,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":687.5,"y":173.6,"elo":1449,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Chris Padilla","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":770.4,"y":122,"elo":1482,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Kody Steele","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":99.2,"elo":1497,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 23, 2025 Austin Hubbard W +15
Feb 8, 2025 Kody Steele W +33
Sep 7, 2024 Chris Padilla L -24
Feb 26, 2022 Ignacio Bahamondes L -32
Sep 18, 2021 Brandon Jenkins W +36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.31 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.47 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.76 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
63% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
83% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.9
actual 0 vs expected