HonestElo
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Rongzhu

Active #70 lightweight
At a glance
Elo rating
1445
Global Elo 1497 ±40
Rank
#70
top 78% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Aug 23, 2025
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 20m
Avg fight time
13:25
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.4
Since last fight
10mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Kazula Vargas Δ-31Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Brandon Jenkins Δ+36Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ-32Sep 7, 2024 — L vs Chris Padilla Δ-24Feb 8, 2025 — W vs Kody Steele Δ+33Aug 23, 2025 — W vs Austin Hubbard Δ+15 1360138014001420144014601480 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":258.5,"elo":1417,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Kazula Vargas","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":156.9,"y":162.3,"elo":1453,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Brandon Jenkins","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":230.2,"y":247.3,"elo":1421,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":650.7,"y":311.1,"elo":1397,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Chris Padilla","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":720.8,"y":223.1,"elo":1430,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Kody Steele","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":184.1,"elo":1445,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 23, 2025 Austin Hubbard W +15
Feb 8, 2025 Kody Steele W +33
Sep 7, 2024 Chris Padilla L -24
Feb 26, 2022 Ignacio Bahamondes L -32
Sep 18, 2021 Brandon Jenkins W +36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 451 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
76% Head
  • Head 76%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brandon Jenkins
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1468
1452

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Rongzhu on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.