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Melvin Guillard "The Young Assassin"

Inactive · age 43 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 67% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 42% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2005
Elo rating
1500
Global Elo 1545 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-9-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Mar 8, 2014
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 24m
Avg fight time
6:52
Bonuses
9
Fights per year
2.5
Since last fight
12y 4mo

Honest Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2005 — W vs Marcus Davis Δ+29Jan 16, 2006 — L vs Josh Neer Δ-39May 27, 2006 — W vs Rick Davis Δ+34Sep 23, 2006 — W vs Gabe Ruediger Δ+31Apr 5, 2007 — L vs Joe Stevenson Δ-32Dec 29, 2007 — L vs Rich Clementi Δ-20Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+17Jun 20, 2009 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+18Sep 16, 2009 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-15Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Ronys Torres Δ+15May 29, 2010 — W vs Waylon Lowe Δ+17Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+15Jan 22, 2011 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+20Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Shane Roller Δ+16Oct 8, 2011 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-19Jan 20, 2012 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Fabricio Camoes Δ+13Aug 11, 2012 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-17Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Jamie Varner Δ-18Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Mac Danzig Δ+15Mar 8, 2014 — L vs Michael Johnson Δ-16 14001450150015501600 2007200920112013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":279.8,"elo":1481,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":107,"y":342.5,"elo":1442,"date":"2006-01-16","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":2,"x":138,"y":287.9,"elo":1476,"date":"2006-05-27","opp":"Rick Davis","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":166.1,"y":238.5,"elo":1507,"date":"2006-09-23","opp":"Gabe Ruediger","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":212,"y":289.5,"elo":1475,"date":"2007-04-05","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":275.4,"y":322,"elo":1455,"date":"2007-12-29","opp":"Rich Clementi","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":320.1,"y":295,"elo":1472,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":402.8,"y":267,"elo":1489,"date":"2009-06-20","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":423.6,"y":290.6,"elo":1475,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":457.4,"y":266.6,"elo":1490,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Ronys Torres","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":483.9,"y":240.4,"elo":1506,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Waylon Lowe","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":512.1,"y":215.8,"elo":1521,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":540.2,"y":184.6,"elo":1541,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":578.3,"y":159.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":601.4,"y":189.5,"elo":1538,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":626,"y":214.3,"elo":1522,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":666,"y":193,"elo":1536,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Fabricio Camoes","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":17,"x":674.3,"y":220.2,"elo":1519,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":707.4,"y":249.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Jamie Varner","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":757,"y":224.7,"elo":1516,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Mac Danzig","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":810,"y":250.5,"elo":1500,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 8, 2014 Michael Johnson L -16
Jul 27, 2013 Mac Danzig W +15
Dec 29, 2012 Jamie Varner L -18
Aug 11, 2012 Donald Cerrone L -17
Jul 7, 2012 Fabricio Camoes W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
7
58% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
33% of wins
KO: 7 (64%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (36%) 4
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
5 63%
R2
3 38%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 439 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 18%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
78%
of losses by finish
7 of 9 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 6 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Evan Dunham
Elo 1590 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.8
+1.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 21 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1561

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Melvin Guillard on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.