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Melvin Guillard

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±34
LCB 1502
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-9-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Mar 8, 2014
L by Decision

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2005 — W vs Marcus Davis Δ+29Jan 16, 2006 — L vs Josh Neer Δ-39May 27, 2006 — W vs Rick Davis Δ+34Sep 23, 2006 — W vs Gabe Ruediger Δ+31Apr 5, 2007 — L vs Joe Stevenson Δ-32Dec 29, 2007 — L vs Rich Clementi Δ-20Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+17Jun 20, 2009 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+18Sep 16, 2009 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-15Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Ronys Torres Δ+15May 29, 2010 — W vs Waylon Lowe Δ+17Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+15Jan 22, 2011 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+20Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Shane Roller Δ+16Oct 8, 2011 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-19Jan 20, 2012 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Fabricio Camoes Δ+13Aug 11, 2012 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-17Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Jamie Varner Δ-18Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Mac Danzig Δ+15Mar 8, 2014 — L vs Michael Johnson Δ-16 14501498154715951644 2007200920112013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":149.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":44.1,"y":192.4,"elo":1490,"date":"2006-01-16","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":2,"x":80.8,"y":155.2,"elo":1524,"date":"2006-05-27","opp":"Rick Davis","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":114.1,"y":121.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2006-09-23","opp":"Gabe Ruediger","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":168.4,"y":156.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2007-04-05","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":243.4,"y":178.4,"elo":1502,"date":"2007-12-29","opp":"Rich Clementi","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":296.2,"y":160,"elo":1519,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":394.2,"y":140.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2009-06-20","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":418.8,"y":157,"elo":1522,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":458.8,"y":140.7,"elo":1537,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Ronys Torres","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":490.2,"y":122.8,"elo":1553,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Waylon Lowe","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":523.4,"y":106,"elo":1569,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":556.7,"y":84.7,"elo":1588,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":601.8,"y":67.6,"elo":1604,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":629.2,"y":88.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":658.3,"y":105,"elo":1570,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":705.6,"y":90.5,"elo":1583,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Fabricio Camoes","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":17,"x":715.4,"y":109.1,"elo":1566,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":754.6,"y":128.8,"elo":1548,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Jamie Varner","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":813.3,"y":112.1,"elo":1563,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Mac Danzig","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":129.7,"elo":1547,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 8, 2014 Michael Johnson L -16
Jul 27, 2013 Mac Danzig W +15
Dec 29, 2012 Jamie Varner L -18
Aug 11, 2012 Donald Cerrone L -17
Jul 7, 2012 Fabricio Camoes W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.37 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.43 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
68% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.14 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
70% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
65% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.16 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
7
58% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
33% of wins
KO: 7 (64%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (36%) 4
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
5 63%
R2
3 38%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.8
actual +1 vs expected