HonestElo
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Erik Koch

Inactive · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1527 ±32
LCB 1485
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Jul 27, 2019
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Mar 19, 2011 — W vs Raphael Assuncao Δ+33Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jonathan Brookins Δ+29Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-31Aug 31, 2013 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-25Feb 22, 2014 — W vs Rafaello Oliveira Δ+26May 10, 2014 — L vs Daron Cruickshank Δ-18May 29, 2016 — W vs Shane Campbell Δ+16Jun 25, 2017 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-16Jan 27, 2018 — L vs King Green Δ-14Jul 27, 2019 — W vs Kyle Stewart Δ+14 14611496153115671602 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":127.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Raphael Assuncao","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":74.8,"y":83.8,"elo":1562,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jonathan Brookins","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":213.6,"y":130.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":274.1,"y":167.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":4,"x":323,"y":128.4,"elo":1532,"date":"2014-02-22","opp":"Rafaello Oliveira","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":344.5,"y":155.8,"elo":1514,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Daron Cruickshank","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":553.8,"y":131.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Shane Campbell","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":663.3,"y":155.1,"elo":1515,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":723.6,"y":176.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"King Green","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":154.8,"elo":1515,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Kyle Stewart","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 27, 2019 Kyle Stewart W +14
Jan 27, 2018 King Green L -14
Jun 25, 2017 Clay Guida L -16
May 29, 2016 Shane Campbell W +16
May 10, 2014 Daron Cruickshank L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.14 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.00 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.95 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.82 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1513
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.0
actual 0 vs expected