Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight MainKhamzat ChimaevvsSean Strickland
- 2flyweightJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsJeremy Stephens
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 7welterweightJoel AlvarezvsYaroslav Amosov
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 10middleweightRoman KopylovvsMarco Tulio
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Jim Miller 34.7% · Jared Gordon 65.3%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Jim Miller 57.3% · Jared Gordon 42.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Tale of the tape
| 28-18-0 | UFC record | 9-8-0 |
| KO 6 · Sub 14 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -2 |
| 42 | Age | 37 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1620 | Global Elo | 1536 |
| 1574 | Elo rating | 1487 |
Jim Miller — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 71% of wins by KO or submission
- 46% of wins finished in round 1
Jared Gordon — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- UFC veteran since 2017
Jim Miller — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1295 landed total · career
- Head 58%
- Body 20%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 72%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 13%
Jared Gordon — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1033 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 16%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 70%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 18%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.77
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.24
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Max Holloway6.91
- 5Manuel Torres6.69
- 1Quillan Salkilld60%
- 2Manuel Torres60%
- 3Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 4Benoit Saint Denis59%
- 5Marquel Mederos58%
- 1Kaue Fernandes1.42
- 2Fares Ziam1.58
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.73
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Fares Ziam64%
- 2Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 3Kaue Fernandes63%
- 4King Green62%
- 5Ilia Topuria62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld6.16
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.22
- 3Loik Radzhabov4.65
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.19
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Manuel Torres67%
- 3Rafael Fiziev67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Nikolas Motta100%
- 2Trey Ogden100%
- 3Ottman Azaitar100%
- 4Anshul Jubli100%
- 5Ilia Topuria95%
- 1Terrance McKinney2.55
- 2Charles Oliveira2.50
- 3Chase Hooper1.96
- 4Jim Miller1.78
- 5Benoit Saint Denis1.75
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev7.60
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.14
- 4Terrance McKinney6.80
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1552 (Jim Miller) vs 1573 (Jared Gordon).
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- May 9, 2026
- Apr 12, 2025
- Nov 16, 2024
- Apr 13, 2024
- Jan 13, 2024
- May 9, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- May 17, 2025
- Jun 22, 2024
- Nov 11, 2023