Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight Main TitleKhamzat ChimaevvsSean Strickland
- 2flyweight TitleJoshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
- 3heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes Acosta
- 4welterweightSean BradyvsJoaquin Buckley
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsJeremy Stephens
- 6middleweightAteba GautiervsOzzy Diaz
- 7welterweightJoel AlvarezvsYaroslav Amosov
- 8lightweightGrant DawsonvsMateusz Rebecki
- 10middleweightRoman KopylovvsMarco Tulio
- 11featherweightPat SabatinivsWilliam Gomis
- 12middleweightBaisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
- 13flyweightClayton CarpentervsJose Ochoa
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Jim Miller 34.7% · Jared Gordon 65.3%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Jim Miller 57.3% · Jared Gordon 42.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Notable
Finishes 71% of wins (6 KO · 14 SUB; 46% of wins end in round 1).
16 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.
Tale of the tape
| 28-18-0 | UFC record | 9-8-0 |
| KO 6 · Sub 14 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -2 |
| 43 | Age | 38 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1620 | Global Elo | 1536 |
| 1574 | Elo rating | 1487 |
Jim Miller — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 71% of wins by KO or submission
- 46% of wins finished in round 1
Jared Gordon — Notable ▼
- UFC veteran since 2017
Jim Miller — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1322 landed total · career
- Head 59%
- Body 20%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 14%
Jared Gordon — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1050 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 16%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 70%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 18%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Gauge Young7.53
- 3Esteban Ribovics7.46
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5Chris Padilla6.67
- 1Marquel Mederos60%
- 2Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 2Fares Ziam1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.77
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo66%
- 2Fares Ziam63%
- 3Ilia Topuria62%
- 4Nasrat Haqparast62%
- 5King Green61%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 4Grant Dawson3.62
- 5Nurullo Aliev3.50
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Matheus Camilo100%
- 3Ottman Azaitar100%
- 4Anshul Jubli100%
- 5Ilia Topuria95%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1552 (Jim Miller) vs 1573 (Jared Gordon).
Common opponents
3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- May 9, 2026
- Apr 12, 2025
- Nov 16, 2024
- Apr 13, 2024
- Jan 13, 2024
- May 9, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- May 17, 2025
- Jun 22, 2024
- Nov 11, 2023