HonestElo
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Manuel Torres

Elo rating
1615 ±32
LCB 1573
Rank
#17
top 16% of division
UFC record
5-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +58
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
May 14, 2022 — W vs Frank Camacho Δ+29Jun 17, 2023 — W vs Nikolas Motta Δ+31Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Chris Duncan Δ+33Sep 14, 2024 — L vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ-36Mar 29, 2025 — W vs Drew Dober Δ+34Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Grant Dawson Δ+24 14891531157216131655 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.7,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Frank Camacho","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":285.1,"y":145,"elo":1560,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Nikolas Motta","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":450,"y":102.8,"elo":1593,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Chris Duncan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":582.8,"y":149.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":4,"x":711.1,"y":106,"elo":1591,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":75.3,"elo":1615,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"W","delta":24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Grant Dawson W +24
Mar 29, 2025 Drew Dober W +34
Sep 14, 2024 Ignacio Bahamondes L -36
Feb 24, 2024 Chris Duncan W +33
Jun 17, 2023 Nikolas Motta W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.40 avg 4.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
60% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.20 avg 3.43
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.00 avg 1.63
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
67% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
5 / 5
Finish rate
KO
4
80% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 4 (80%) 4 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
5 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1578
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual +2 vs expected