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Cole Miller "Magrinho"

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 80% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1474
Global Elo 1524 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 7 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Dec 17, 2016
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 15m
Avg fight time
10:16
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
9y 6mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2007 — W vs Andy Wang Δ+33Sep 19, 2007 — W vs Leonard Garcia Δ+27Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Jeremy Stephens Δ-39Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Jorge Gurgel Δ+33Apr 1, 2009 — W vs Junie Browning Δ+31Sep 19, 2009 — L vs Efrain Escudero Δ-21Jan 2, 2010 — W vs Dan Lauzon Δ+14Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+19Jan 22, 2011 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-17Aug 14, 2011 — W vs TJ O'Brien Δ+13Mar 2, 2012 — L vs Steven Siler Δ-19Aug 4, 2012 — L vs Nam Phan Δ-22Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Bart Palaszewski Δ+15Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ-21Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Andy Ogle Δ+14Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Sam Sicilia Δ+15Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-16Jun 4, 2016 — L vs Alex Caceres Δ-19Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Mizuto Hirota Δ-20 145014751500152515501575 2009201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":315.3,"elo":1487,"date":"2007-06-23","opp":"Andy Wang","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":108.3,"y":246.2,"elo":1514,"date":"2007-09-19","opp":"Leonard Garcia","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":134.5,"y":345.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":3,"x":168.5,"y":260.8,"elo":1508,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Jorge Gurgel","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":224.6,"y":181.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Junie Browning","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":260.2,"y":234.9,"elo":1518,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":282,"y":200.1,"elo":1532,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Dan Lauzon","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":335.2,"y":152,"elo":1551,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":362,"y":194.4,"elo":1534,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":404.4,"y":161.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"TJ O'Brien","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":446.2,"y":210.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Steven Siler","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":478.4,"y":265.9,"elo":1506,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Nam Phan","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":530.7,"y":228.2,"elo":1521,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Bart Palaszewski","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":556.9,"y":282,"elo":1500,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":14,"x":571.5,"y":247.2,"elo":1514,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Andy Ogle","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":588.3,"y":207.8,"elo":1529,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Sam Sicilia","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":670.4,"y":248,"elo":1513,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":17,"x":769.3,"y":296.3,"elo":1494,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":347.5,"elo":1474,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Mizuto Hirota","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 17, 2016 Mizuto Hirota L -20
Jun 4, 2016 Alex Caceres L -19
Feb 14, 2015 Max Holloway L -16
Jan 15, 2014 Sam Sicilia W +15
Oct 26, 2013 Andy Ogle W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
8 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
7
70% of wins
DEC
2
20% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 7 (70%) 7 Dec: 2 (20%) 2
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 577 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
22%
of losses by finish
2 of 9
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 7 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1505
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ross Pearson
Elo 1586 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.9
−0.9 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1451

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Cole Miller on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.