HonestElo
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Cole Miller

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1524 ±38
LCB 1475
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 7 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Dec 17, 2016
L by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2007 — W vs Andy Wang Δ+33Sep 19, 2007 — W vs Leonard Garcia Δ+27Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Jeremy Stephens Δ-39Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Jorge Gurgel Δ+33Apr 1, 2009 — W vs Junie Browning Δ+31Sep 19, 2009 — L vs Efrain Escudero Δ-21Jan 2, 2010 — W vs Dan Lauzon Δ+14Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+19Jan 22, 2011 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-17Aug 14, 2011 — W vs TJ O'Brien Δ+13Mar 2, 2012 — L vs Steven Siler Δ-19Aug 4, 2012 — L vs Nam Phan Δ-22Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Bart Palaszewski Δ+15Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ-21Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Andy Ogle Δ+14Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Sam Sicilia Δ+15Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-16Jun 4, 2016 — L vs Alex Caceres Δ-19Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Mizuto Hirota Δ-20 14811520155915981637 2009201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":164.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2007-06-23","opp":"Andy Wang","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":45.6,"y":128.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2007-09-19","opp":"Leonard Garcia","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":76.6,"y":180.8,"elo":1521,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":3,"x":116.9,"y":135.8,"elo":1554,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Jorge Gurgel","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":183.3,"y":93.7,"elo":1586,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Junie Browning","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":225.4,"y":122.1,"elo":1565,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":251.2,"y":103.7,"elo":1578,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Dan Lauzon","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":314.1,"y":78.2,"elo":1597,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":345.9,"y":100.7,"elo":1580,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":396,"y":83.5,"elo":1593,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"TJ O'Brien","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":445.5,"y":109.1,"elo":1574,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Steven Siler","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":483.6,"y":138.5,"elo":1552,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Nam Phan","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":545.5,"y":118.6,"elo":1567,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Bart Palaszewski","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":576.5,"y":147.1,"elo":1546,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":14,"x":593.7,"y":128.6,"elo":1560,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Andy Ogle","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":613.6,"y":107.8,"elo":1575,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Sam Sicilia","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":710.8,"y":129.1,"elo":1559,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":17,"x":827.8,"y":154.7,"elo":1541,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":181.8,"elo":1521,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Mizuto Hirota","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 17, 2016 Mizuto Hirota L -20
Jun 4, 2016 Alex Caceres L -19
Feb 14, 2015 Max Holloway L -16
Jan 15, 2014 Sam Sicilia W +15
Oct 26, 2013 Andy Ogle W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.68 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
33% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.53 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.56 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
39% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.67 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
8 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
7
70% of wins
DEC
2
20% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 7 (70%) 7 Dec: 2 (20%) 2
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1505
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.9
actual -1 vs expected