HonestElo
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✓ Sean Brady won · by Decision · R3
welterweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA
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Corner A
Sean Brady
#6 9-2-0
Elo 1645
VS
Corner B
Joaquin Buckley
#21 11-6-0
Elo 1579
Final result · recorded May 10, 2026
Sean Brady
defeated Joaquin Buckley by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Sean Brady 73.4% · Joaquin Buckley 26.6%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Sean Brady 56.0% · Joaquin Buckley 44.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 12
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Main event · middleweight Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta heavyweight King Green vs Jeremy Stephens lightweight Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov welterweight Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki lightweight Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon lightweight Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio middleweight Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis featherweight Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos middleweight Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa flyweight

Tale of the tape

9-2-0 UFC record 11-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 4 Finishes KO 6 · Sub 0
+1 Streak -2
33 Age 32
5'10" 178 cm Height 5'10" 178 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1688 Global Elo 1618
1645 Elo rating 1579
Sean Brady — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Joaquin Buckley — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 73% of wins by KO/TKO

Sean Brady — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 599 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 7%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 24%

Joaquin Buckley — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 723 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 19%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.08
3.62
div avg 4.04
53%
36%
div avg 50%
2.77
3.10
div avg 3.06
60%
59%
div avg 56%
3.58
1.43
div avg 2.25
51%
45%
div avg 42%
87%
70%
div avg 72%
0.82
0.08
div avg 0.54
7
2
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Sean Brady
44% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 4
can finish?
Joaquin Buckley
finished 50%
3 of 6 losses
Joaquin Buckley
55% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Sean Brady
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1662 (Sean Brady) vs 1654 (Joaquin Buckley).

Sean Brady red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1662
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Leon Edwards
Elo 1725 at fight time
Expected wins
5.5
+3.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1515
1632
Notable wins
Leon Edwards 1725 Gilbert Burns 1654 Michael Chiesa 1643 Joaquin Buckley 1632 Kelvin Gastelum 1622
Joaquin Buckley blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1654
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vicente Luque
Elo 1684 at fight time
Expected wins
8.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1549
1674
Notable wins
Vicente Luque 1684 Colby Covington 1671 Stephen Thompson 1622 Alex Morono 1607
Corner A recent form
Sean Brady
Corner B recent form
Joaquin Buckley
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Sean Brady & Joaquin Buckley on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.