HonestElo
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Jim Miller

Active #19 lightweight · Southpaw · 173 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1604 ±34
LCB 1560
Rank
#19
top 18% of division
UFC record
27-18-0
KO 6 · Sub 13 · Dec 8
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
Apr 12, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

45 fights · tap & drag
Oct 18, 2008 — W vs David Baron Δ+33Dec 10, 2008 — W vs Matt Wiman Δ+34Mar 7, 2009 — L vs Gray Maynard Δ-25Jul 11, 2009 — W vs Mac Danzig Δ+25Sep 19, 2009 — W vs Steve Lopez Δ+27Jan 2, 2010 — W vs Duane Ludwig Δ+17Mar 27, 2010 — W vs Mark Bocek Δ+13Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+13Dec 11, 2010 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+15Mar 19, 2011 — W vs Kamal Shalorus Δ+11Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Benson Henderson Δ-22Jan 20, 2012 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+15May 5, 2012 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-20Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+15Dec 28, 2013 — W vs Fabricio Camoes Δ+10Apr 26, 2014 — W vs Yancy Medeiros Δ+9Jul 16, 2014 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-20Apr 18, 2015 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-19Jul 25, 2015 — W vs Danny Castillo Δ+13Dec 10, 2015 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-21Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Diego Sanchez Δ-17Jul 9, 2016 — W vs Takanori Gomi Δ+13Aug 27, 2016 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+15Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+15Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-17Jul 8, 2017 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-17Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-16Apr 21, 2018 — L vs Dan Hooker Δ-21Sep 8, 2018 — W vs Alex White Δ+13Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-18Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Jason Gonzalez Δ+13Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+17Feb 15, 2020 — L vs Scott Holtzman Δ-18Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Roosevelt Roberts Δ+18Aug 15, 2020 — L vs Vinc Pichel Δ-17Apr 10, 2021 — L vs Joe Solecki Δ-17Oct 16, 2021 — W vs Erick Gonzalez Δ+15Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Nikolas Motta Δ+14Jul 2, 2022 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+19Feb 18, 2023 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-20Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Jesse Butler Δ+13Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Gabriel Benitez Δ+13Apr 13, 2024 — L vs King Green Δ-18Nov 16, 2024 — W vs Damon Jackson Δ+15Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Chase Hooper Δ-18 14931548160216571711 20112014201720202023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-10-18","opp":"David Baron","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":31.5,"y":164.2,"elo":1567,"date":"2008-12-10","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":43.8,"y":188.3,"elo":1542,"date":"2009-03-07","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":61.6,"y":163.8,"elo":1567,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Mac Danzig","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":71.6,"y":137.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Steve Lopez","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":86.4,"y":121.5,"elo":1611,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Duane Ludwig","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":98.3,"y":108.4,"elo":1624,"date":"2010-03-27","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":122.6,"y":95.5,"elo":1638,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":135,"y":81,"elo":1653,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":148.8,"y":70.5,"elo":1663,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Kamal Shalorus","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":10,"x":169.8,"y":91.6,"elo":1642,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":11,"x":192.3,"y":76.7,"elo":1657,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":207.3,"y":96,"elo":1637,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":13,"x":241,"y":81.8,"elo":1652,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":292.5,"y":71.9,"elo":1662,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Fabricio Camoes","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":15,"x":309.3,"y":62.9,"elo":1671,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":16,"x":320.8,"y":81.9,"elo":1652,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":359.8,"y":100,"elo":1633,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":373.7,"y":87.6,"elo":1646,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"Danny Castillo","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":19,"x":393.2,"y":108.5,"elo":1624,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":20,"x":405.4,"y":124.7,"elo":1608,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":21,"x":423.3,"y":112.2,"elo":1621,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Takanori Gomi","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":22,"x":430.2,"y":97.6,"elo":1636,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":23,"x":441.1,"y":83,"elo":1651,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":24,"x":454,"y":99.2,"elo":1634,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":25,"x":474.8,"y":116,"elo":1617,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":26,"x":490.6,"y":131.7,"elo":1601,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":27,"x":515.4,"y":151.8,"elo":1580,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":28,"x":535.2,"y":139.3,"elo":1593,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"Alex White","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":29,"x":549.1,"y":157,"elo":1574,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":30,"x":567.9,"y":144.3,"elo":1588,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Jason Gonzalez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":31,"x":581.8,"y":127.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":32,"x":609.5,"y":145.1,"elo":1587,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Scott Holtzman","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":33,"x":627.3,"y":127.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Roosevelt Roberts","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":34,"x":635.3,"y":143.5,"elo":1588,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Vinc Pichel","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":35,"x":668.9,"y":160.1,"elo":1571,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Joe Solecki","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":36,"x":695.7,"y":145.8,"elo":1586,"date":"2021-10-16","opp":"Erick Gonzalez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":37,"x":713.5,"y":132.2,"elo":1600,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Nikolas Motta","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":38,"x":732.3,"y":114,"elo":1619,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":39,"x":765,"y":133.2,"elo":1599,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":40,"x":779.9,"y":120.3,"elo":1612,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Jesse Butler","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":41,"x":811.6,"y":107.3,"elo":1626,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Gabriel Benitez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":42,"x":824.5,"y":124.8,"elo":1608,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"King Green","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":43,"x":855.2,"y":110.6,"elo":1622,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Damon Jackson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":44,"x":876,"y":128.3,"elo":1604,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Chase Hooper","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 12, 2025 Chase Hooper L -18
Nov 16, 2024 Damon Jackson W +15
Apr 13, 2024 King Green L -18
Jan 13, 2024 Gabriel Benitez W +13
Jun 3, 2023 Jesse Butler W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.57 avg 4.10
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.99 avg 3.40
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.32 avg 1.62
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 74%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.53 avg 0.49
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
19 / 27
Finish rate
KO
6
22% of wins
SUB
13
48% of wins
DEC
8
30% of wins
KO: 6 (22%) 6 Sub: 13 (48%) 13 Dec: 8 (30%) 8
Finishes by round
19 total
R1
12 63%
R2
4 21%
R3
3 16%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
25.8
actual +1 vs expected