HonestElo
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Joe Lauzon

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1549 ±36
LCB 1502
Rank
UFC record
15-12-0
KO 5 · Sub 7 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Oct 18, 2019
W by KO

Elo history

27 fights · tap & drag
Sep 23, 2006 — W vs Jens Pulver Δ+47Jun 23, 2007 — W vs Brandon Melendez Δ+29Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Jason Reinhardt Δ+26Apr 2, 2008 — L vs Kenny Florian Δ-36Sep 17, 2008 — W vs Kyle Bradley Δ+24Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+16Jan 2, 2010 — L vs Sam Stout Δ-21Aug 28, 2010 — W vs Gabe Ruediger Δ+13Nov 20, 2010 — L vs George Sotiropoulos Δ-15Jun 26, 2011 — W vs Curt Warburton Δ+15Oct 8, 2011 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+19Feb 25, 2012 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-24Aug 4, 2012 — W vs Jamie Varner Δ+16Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Michael Johnson Δ-19Dec 14, 2013 — W vs Mac Danzig Δ+12Sep 5, 2014 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+16Jan 31, 2015 — L vs Al Iaquinta Δ-21Jul 25, 2015 — W vs Takanori Gomi Δ+15Dec 11, 2015 — L vs Evan Dunham Δ-17Jul 9, 2016 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+21Aug 27, 2016 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Jan 15, 2017 — W vs Marcin Held Δ+11Apr 22, 2017 — L vs Stevie Ray Δ-17Nov 11, 2017 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-20Apr 7, 2018 — L vs Chris Gruetzemacher Δ-23Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Jonathan Pearce Δ+17 14961535157516151655 2009201220152018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":168,"elo":1547,"date":"2006-09-23","opp":"Jens Pulver","result":"W","delta":47},{"i":1,"x":72.7,"y":129.7,"elo":1575,"date":"2007-06-23","opp":"Brandon Melendez","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":99,"y":95,"elo":1601,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Jason Reinhardt","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":123.4,"y":142.6,"elo":1566,"date":"2008-04-02","opp":"Kenny Florian","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":4,"x":153.4,"y":111.1,"elo":1589,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Kyle Bradley","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":178.9,"y":89.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":237.7,"y":118.5,"elo":1584,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Sam Stout","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":280.2,"y":101.6,"elo":1596,"date":"2010-08-28","opp":"Gabe Ruediger","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":295.1,"y":121.9,"elo":1581,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"George Sotiropoulos","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":334.1,"y":102.6,"elo":1596,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Curt Warburton","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":352.6,"y":77.4,"elo":1615,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":377.6,"y":109,"elo":1591,"date":"2012-02-25","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":12,"x":406.4,"y":87.2,"elo":1607,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Jamie Varner","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":432.6,"y":106.7,"elo":1593,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":473.8,"y":132.5,"elo":1573,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":495.1,"y":117.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Mac Danzig","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":16,"x":542.4,"y":95.4,"elo":1601,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":568.8,"y":123.5,"elo":1580,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":18,"x":600,"y":103.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"Takanori Gomi","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":19,"x":624.8,"y":125.9,"elo":1578,"date":"2015-12-11","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":662.5,"y":97.9,"elo":1599,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":21,"x":671.3,"y":117.9,"elo":1584,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":22,"x":696.4,"y":102.8,"elo":1595,"date":"2017-01-15","opp":"Marcin Held","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":23,"x":713.7,"y":125.1,"elo":1579,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Stevie Ray","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":750,"y":151.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":25,"x":776.2,"y":182.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Chris Gruetzemacher","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":26,"x":876,"y":160.6,"elo":1552,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Jonathan Pearce","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 18, 2019 Jonathan Pearce W +17
Apr 7, 2018 Chris Gruetzemacher L -23
Nov 11, 2017 Clay Guida L -20
Apr 22, 2017 Stevie Ray L -17
Jan 15, 2017 Marcin Held W +11

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.28 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.33 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.92 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
55% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.64 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
12 / 15
Finish rate
KO
5
33% of wins
SUB
7
47% of wins
DEC
2
13% of wins
KO: 5 (36%) 5 Sub: 7 (50%) 7 Dec: 2 (14%) 2
Finishes by round
13 total
R1
8 62%
R2
4 31%
R3
1 8%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1515
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
14.9
actual 0 vs expected