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Renato Moicano

Active #11 lightweight · age 37 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • 69% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1598
Global Elo 1642 ±34
Rank
#11
top 11% of division
UFC record
13-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 7 · Dec 4
Streak
+1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Apr 4, 2026
Win by Submission · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 8m
Avg fight time
9:24
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
41m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Tom Niinimaki Δ+30May 14, 2016 — W vs Zubaira Tukhugov Δ+33Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+28Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-31Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Calvin Kattar Δ+30Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Cub Swanson Δ+20Feb 2, 2019 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Jun 22, 2019 — L vs Chan Sung Jung Δ-19Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Damir Hadzovic Δ+17Dec 12, 2020 — L vs Rafael Fiziev Δ-22Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Jai Herbert Δ+14Feb 12, 2022 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+18Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-14Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Brad Riddell Δ+17Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Drew Dober Δ+16Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Jalin Turner Δ+17Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ+15Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-14Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-14Apr 4, 2026 — W vs Chris Duncan Δ+18 14501500155016001650 201620182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":352.6,"elo":1486,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Tom Niinimaki","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":179.2,"y":300.1,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Zubaira Tukhugov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":237.9,"y":254.8,"elo":1547,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":256.2,"y":305,"elo":1516,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":300.3,"y":257.7,"elo":1545,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":321,"y":225.7,"elo":1565,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":352.8,"y":248.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":377.3,"y":278,"elo":1533,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Chan Sung Jung","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":423.7,"y":251.8,"elo":1549,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Damir Hadzovic","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":471.4,"y":286.3,"elo":1527,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":10,"x":505.6,"y":264.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Jai Herbert","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":546,"y":236.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":549.6,"y":258.2,"elo":1545,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":13,"x":593.6,"y":231.3,"elo":1562,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Brad Riddell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":671.9,"y":206.2,"elo":1577,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":684.1,"y":179.6,"elo":1594,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":713.4,"y":156.2,"elo":1609,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":733,"y":178.2,"elo":1595,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":18,"x":761.1,"y":201.4,"elo":1580,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":19,"x":810,"y":172.6,"elo":1598,"date":"2026-04-04","opp":"Chris Duncan","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 4, 2026 Chris Duncan W +18
Jun 28, 2025 Beneil Dariush L -14
Jan 18, 2025 Islam Makhachev L -14
Sep 28, 2024 Benoit Saint Denis W +15
Apr 13, 2024 Jalin Turner W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
62%
8 / 13
Finish rate
KO
1
8% of wins
SUB
7
54% of wins
DEC
4
31% of wins
KO: 1 (8%) 1 Sub: 7 (58%) 7 Dec: 4 (33%) 4
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
3 33%
R2
6 67%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 771 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 10%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
71%
of losses by finish
5 of 7 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1657
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 13 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cub Swanson
Elo 1619 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.9
+3.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 20 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1463
1616
Notable wins
Cub Swanson 1619 Chris Duncan 1616 Benoit Saint Denis 1609

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Renato Moicano on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.