HonestElo
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Renato Moicano

Active #14 lightweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1624 ±33
LCB 1582
Rank
#14
top 13% of division
UFC record
12-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 6 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Jun 28, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Tom Niinimaki Δ+30May 14, 2016 — W vs Zubaira Tukhugov Δ+33Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+28Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-31Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Calvin Kattar Δ+30Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Cub Swanson Δ+20Feb 2, 2019 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Jun 22, 2019 — L vs Chan Sung Jung Δ-19Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Damir Hadzovic Δ+17Dec 12, 2020 — L vs Rafael Fiziev Δ-22Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Jai Herbert Δ+14Feb 12, 2022 — W vs Alexander Hernandez Δ+18Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-14Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Brad Riddell Δ+17Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Drew Dober Δ+16Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Jalin Turner Δ+17Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ+15Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-14Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-14 14901540159116421692 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":194.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Tom Niinimaki","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":137.3,"y":159.9,"elo":1562,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Zubaira Tukhugov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":211.8,"y":130.3,"elo":1591,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":235.1,"y":163.1,"elo":1559,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":290.9,"y":132.1,"elo":1589,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":317.3,"y":111.2,"elo":1609,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":357.7,"y":126.1,"elo":1595,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":388.7,"y":145.4,"elo":1576,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Chan Sung Jung","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":447.7,"y":128.3,"elo":1593,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Damir Hadzovic","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":508.2,"y":150.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":10,"x":551.7,"y":136.5,"elo":1585,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Jai Herbert","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":602.9,"y":118.2,"elo":1602,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":607.5,"y":132.5,"elo":1589,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":13,"x":663.4,"y":114.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Brad Riddell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":762.7,"y":98.5,"elo":1621,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":778.2,"y":81.1,"elo":1638,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":815.5,"y":65.8,"elo":1652,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":840.3,"y":80.2,"elo":1639,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":95.3,"elo":1624,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 28, 2025 Beneil Dariush L -14
Jan 18, 2025 Islam Makhachev L -14
Sep 28, 2024 Benoit Saint Denis W +15
Apr 13, 2024 Jalin Turner W +17
Feb 3, 2024 Drew Dober W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.66 avg 4.07
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.13 avg 3.40
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.46 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.44 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
1
8% of wins
SUB
6
50% of wins
DEC
4
33% of wins
KO: 1 (9%) 1 Sub: 6 (55%) 6 Dec: 4 (36%) 4
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
3 38%
R2
5 63%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1653
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.4
actual +3 vs expected