HonestElo
← lightweight

Terrance McKinney "T. Wrecks"

Active #41 lightweight · age 31 · Switch · 5'11" 180 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs King Green · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
Elo rating
1508
Global Elo 1551 ±34
Rank
#41
top 45% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 5 · Sub 3 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
Win by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
29m
Avg fight time
2:16
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.7
Ground control
13m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Matt Frevola Δ+34Feb 26, 2022 — W vs Fares Ziam Δ+33Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-34Aug 6, 2022 — W vs Erick Gonzalez Δ+28Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Ismael Bonfim Δ-39Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Nazim Sadykhov Δ-18Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Mike Breeden Δ+15Oct 14, 2023 — W vs Brendon Marotte Δ+17May 11, 2024 — L vs Esteban Ribovics Δ-20Feb 1, 2025 — W vs Damir Hadzovic Δ+19Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Viacheslav Borshchev Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Chris Duncan Δ-16Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Kyle Nelson Δ+17 14201440146014801500152015401560 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":248.6,"elo":1491,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Matt Frevola","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":196.6,"y":173.4,"elo":1523,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Fares Ziam","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":202.3,"y":252.3,"elo":1489,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":262.8,"y":189.4,"elo":1516,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Erick Gonzalez","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":331.9,"y":278.1,"elo":1478,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Ismael Bonfim","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":5,"x":403.9,"y":319.5,"elo":1460,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Nazim Sadykhov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":415.4,"y":284.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Mike Breeden","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":441.4,"y":245,"elo":1492,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Brendon Marotte","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":527.8,"y":290.9,"elo":1472,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Esteban Ribovics","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":637.2,"y":248.2,"elo":1491,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Damir Hadzovic","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":697.7,"y":210.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Viacheslav Borshchev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":763.9,"y":247,"elo":1491,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Chris Duncan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":209.3,"elo":1508,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Kyle Nelson","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Kyle Nelson W +17
Dec 6, 2025 Chris Duncan L -16
Jun 28, 2025 Viacheslav Borshchev W +16
Feb 1, 2025 Damir Hadzovic W +19
May 11, 2024 Esteban Ribovics L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
8 / 8
Finish rate
KO
5
63% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 5 (63%) 5 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
8 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 229 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
87% Head
  • Head 87%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
45% Distance
  • Distance 45%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 42%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
5 of 5 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Fares Ziam
Elo 1532 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.9
+1.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1511
1499

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Terrance McKinney on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.