Honest Elo matchups
UFC Events
Every UFC card we track, with Honest Elo Monte Carlo simulations for every matched bout. Click any card to open the breakdown — fight-by-fight stat comparisons, common opponents, and the simulation gauge.
Next event
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 AV ME
Abu Dhabi, UAE
UFC 333
Volkanovski vs. Evloev
13 bouts · Honest Elo Monte Carlo for every booked matchup
Card strength 1677 · full 1600 · 22 ranked
Upcoming
6 cards RM TN
Sat, Oct 31
Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
UFC Fight Night Las Vegas
Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan
Card strength 1581 · full 1535 · 17 ranked
Card strength 1581 Full card 1535 · 17 ranked
→ GB SB
Sat, Nov 7
Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
UFC Fight Night 293
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Sean Brady
Card strength 1601 · full 1546 · 13 ranked
Card strength 1601 Full card 1546 · 13 ranked
→ CG JH
Sat, Nov 14
New York City, New York, USA
UFC 334
Gane vs. Hokit
Card strength 1638 · full 1594 · 20 ranked
Card strength 1638 Full card 1594 · 20 ranked
→ JP NS
Sat, Nov 21
Doha, Qatar
UFC Fight Night Doha
Jiri Prochazka vs. Navajo Stirling
Card strength 1640 · full 1602 · 16 ranked
Card strength 1640 Full card 1602 · 16 ranked
→ JF BS
Sat, Nov 28
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
UFC Fight Night Riyadh
Jafel Filho vs. Bruno Silva
Card forming
→
CO DL
Sat, Dec 12
Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
UFC 335
Oliveira vs. Lopes
Card strength 1638 · full 1621 · 11 ranked
Card strength 1638 Full card 1621 · 11 ranked
→ Past
23 cards Sat, Oct 17 UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott → Sat, Oct 10 UFC Fight Night → Sat, Oct 3 UFC 332 → Sat, Sep 26 UFC Fight Night Nevada → Sat, Sep 19 UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 → Sat, Sep 12 UFC Fight Night Glendale → Sat, Sep 5 UFC Fight Night: Parnasse vs. Hooker → Sat, Aug 29 UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song → Sat, Aug 22 UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues → Sat, Aug 15 UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry → Sat, Aug 8 UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs. Salkilld → Sat, Aug 1 UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez → Sat, Jul 25 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov → Sat, Jul 18 UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman → Sat, Jul 11 UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 → Sat, Jun 27 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres → Sat, Jun 20 UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi → Sun, Jun 14 UFC Freedom 250 → Sat, Jun 6 UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim → Sat, May 30 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo → Sat, May 16 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa → Sat, May 9 UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland → Sat, May 2 UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates →
How Card strength works
The average Global Elo of a card’s top-10 rated fighters — roughly its 5-bout main card. Top-10, not the whole card, because prelims drag every event toward the UFC mean; the marquee depth is what actually separates a stacked card from a thin one.
- · Full card — the same average across every rated fighter on the bill.
- · Debutants with no Elo rating yet are excluded from both figures.
- · Fewer than 5 rated fighters → “Card forming” instead of a number (a near-empty just-announced card can’t be judged yet).