HonestElo
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Renan Barao

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1537 ±23
LCB 1507
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-8-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-5
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Nov 16, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
May 28, 2011 — W vs Cole Escovedo Δ+29Nov 5, 2011 — W vs Brad Pickett Δ+30Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Scott Jorgensen Δ+29Jul 21, 2012 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+30Feb 16, 2013 — W vs Michael McDonald Δ+41Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Eddie Wineland Δ+14Feb 1, 2014 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+18May 24, 2014 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-30Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Mitch Gagnon Δ+15Jul 25, 2015 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-26May 29, 2016 — L vs Jeremy Stephens Δ-21Sep 24, 2016 — W vs Phillipe Nover Δ+8Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Aljamain Sterling Δ-18Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Brian Kelleher Δ-19Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Andre Ewell Δ-20Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Luke Sanders Δ-24Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ-18 14891549161016701731 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":200.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Cole Escovedo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":68.3,"y":174.3,"elo":1559,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Brad Pickett","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":93.4,"y":149.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Scott Jorgensen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":139.7,"y":122.9,"elo":1618,"date":"2012-07-21","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":197.5,"y":87.1,"elo":1659,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Michael McDonald","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":5,"x":257.2,"y":74.5,"elo":1673,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":293.9,"y":59.1,"elo":1691,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":324.7,"y":85,"elo":1661,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":8,"x":382.5,"y":72.1,"elo":1676,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Mitch Gagnon","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":442.3,"y":94.8,"elo":1650,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":10,"x":527.4,"y":112.8,"elo":1629,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":559.9,"y":106.2,"elo":1637,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Phillipe Nover","result":"W","delta":8},{"i":12,"x":644.7,"y":122.1,"elo":1619,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":702.5,"y":139.2,"elo":1599,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":14,"x":760.3,"y":157.2,"elo":1579,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Andre Ewell","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":15,"x":801.1,"y":178,"elo":1555,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Luke Sanders","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":193.5,"elo":1537,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 16, 2019 Douglas Silva de Andrade L -18
Feb 17, 2019 Luke Sanders L -24
Sep 22, 2018 Andre Ewell L -20
Feb 24, 2018 Brian Kelleher L -19
Jul 29, 2017 Aljamain Sterling L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.62 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
37% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.75 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.41 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
93% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.29 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
2
22% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 2 (22%) 2 Sub: 3 (33%) 3 Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
1 20%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.2
actual -1 vs expected