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Renan Barao "The Baron"

Inactive · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3 successful title defenses
  • 5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 56% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1506
Global Elo 1536 ±23
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-8-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-5
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Nov 16, 2019
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 55m
Avg fight time
13:50
Title fights
4-2
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
6y 7mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
May 28, 2011 — W vs Cole Escovedo Δ+29Nov 5, 2011 — W vs Brad Pickett Δ+30Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Scott Jorgensen Δ+29Jul 21, 2012 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+30Feb 16, 2013 — W vs Michael McDonald Δ+41Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Eddie Wineland Δ+14Feb 1, 2014 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+18May 24, 2014 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-30Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Mitch Gagnon Δ+15Jul 25, 2015 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-26May 29, 2016 — L vs Jeremy Stephens Δ-21Sep 24, 2016 — W vs Phillipe Nover Δ+8Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Aljamain Sterling Δ-18Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Brian Kelleher Δ-19Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Andre Ewell Δ-20Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Luke Sanders Δ-24Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ-18 145015001550160016501700 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":348.7,"elo":1498,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Cole Escovedo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":127.5,"y":309.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Brad Pickett","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":148.6,"y":273.2,"elo":1557,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Scott Jorgensen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":187.7,"y":234.8,"elo":1587,"date":"2012-07-21","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":236.6,"y":182.5,"elo":1628,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Michael McDonald","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":5,"x":287.1,"y":164.1,"elo":1642,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":318.1,"y":141.6,"elo":1660,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":344.1,"y":179.5,"elo":1630,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":8,"x":393,"y":160.7,"elo":1645,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Mitch Gagnon","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":443.5,"y":193.7,"elo":1619,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":10,"x":515.4,"y":220,"elo":1598,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":542.9,"y":210.4,"elo":1606,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Phillipe Nover","result":"W","delta":8},{"i":12,"x":614.5,"y":233.6,"elo":1588,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":663.4,"y":258.6,"elo":1568,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":14,"x":712.3,"y":284.8,"elo":1548,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Andre Ewell","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":15,"x":746.7,"y":315.2,"elo":1524,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Luke Sanders","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":337.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 16, 2019 Douglas Silva de Andrade L -18
Feb 17, 2019 Luke Sanders L -24
Sep 22, 2018 Andre Ewell L -20
Feb 24, 2018 Brian Kelleher L -19
Jul 29, 2017 Aljamain Sterling L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
2
22% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 2 (22%) 2 Sub: 3 (33%) 3 Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
1 20%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 922 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
38%
of losses by finish
3 of 8
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 5 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Michael McDonald
Elo 1613 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.2
−1.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1519
Notable wins
Michael McDonald 1613

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Renan Barao on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.