HonestElo
← featherweight

Yair Rodriguez

Active #6 featherweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1666 ±36
LCB 1619
Rank
#6
top 5% of division
UFC record
11-4-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Apr 12, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Nov 15, 2014 — W vs Leonardo Morales Δ+36Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Charles Rosa Δ+26Oct 3, 2015 — W vs Dan Hooker Δ+26Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Andre Fili Δ+27Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Alex Caceres Δ+21Jan 15, 2017 — W vs BJ Penn Δ+17May 13, 2017 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-14Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Chan Sung Jung Δ+17Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+12Nov 13, 2021 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-14Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Brian Ortega Δ+19Feb 11, 2023 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+22Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-19Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-20Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Patricio Freire Δ+9 14961556161616751735 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":200.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Leonardo Morales","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":71.1,"y":177.2,"elo":1562,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":96.2,"y":153.8,"elo":1589,"date":"2015-10-03","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":141.7,"y":129.5,"elo":1616,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":165.2,"y":111.2,"elo":1637,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":5,"x":201.5,"y":96.5,"elo":1653,"date":"2017-01-15","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":228,"y":109.3,"elo":1639,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":350.4,"y":94.4,"elo":1656,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Chan Sung Jung","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":427,"y":83.9,"elo":1668,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":596.7,"y":96.2,"elo":1654,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":651.6,"y":79.1,"elo":1673,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":698.7,"y":59.5,"elo":1695,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":12,"x":731.6,"y":76.4,"elo":1676,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":783.4,"y":93.8,"elo":1657,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":85.6,"elo":1666,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Patricio Freire","result":"W","delta":9}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 12, 2025 Patricio Freire W +9
Feb 24, 2024 Brian Ortega L -20
Jul 8, 2023 Alexander Volkanovski L -19
Feb 11, 2023 Josh Emmett W +22
Jul 16, 2022 Brian Ortega W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.36 avg 3.74
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.56 avg 2.95
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.67 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
45%
5 / 11
Finish rate
KO
4
36% of wins
SUB
1
9% of wins
DEC
6
55% of wins
KO: 4 (36%) 4 Sub: 1 (9%) 1 Dec: 6 (55%) 6
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
3 60%
R3
R4
R5
1 20%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1648
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.1
actual +3 vs expected