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Yair Rodriguez "El Pantera"

Active #7 featherweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1615
Global Elo 1662 ±36
Rank
#7
top 8% of division
UFC record
11-4-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
+1
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Apr 12, 2025
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 31m
Avg fight time
14:06
Title fights
2-1
Bonuses
8
Fights per year
1.4
Since last fight
1y 2mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Nov 15, 2014 — W vs Leonardo Morales Δ+36Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Charles Rosa Δ+26Oct 3, 2015 — W vs Dan Hooker Δ+26Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Andre Fili Δ+27Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Alex Caceres Δ+21Jan 15, 2017 — W vs BJ Penn Δ+17May 13, 2017 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-14Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Chan Sung Jung Δ+17Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+12Nov 13, 2021 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-14Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Brian Ortega Δ+19Feb 11, 2023 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+22Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-19Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-20Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Patricio Freire Δ+9 145015001550160016501700 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":364.6,"elo":1486,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Leonardo Morales","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":129.8,"y":330.8,"elo":1512,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":151,"y":297,"elo":1538,"date":"2015-10-03","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":189.4,"y":261.9,"elo":1566,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":209.3,"y":235.5,"elo":1586,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":5,"x":240,"y":214.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2017-01-15","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":262.4,"y":232.7,"elo":1589,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":365.8,"y":211.2,"elo":1605,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Chan Sung Jung","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":430.6,"y":196.1,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":574,"y":213.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":620.4,"y":189.1,"elo":1623,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":660.2,"y":160.8,"elo":1645,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":12,"x":688,"y":185.2,"elo":1626,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":731.8,"y":210.3,"elo":1606,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":198.5,"elo":1615,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Patricio Freire","result":"W","delta":9}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 12, 2025 Patricio Freire W +9
Feb 24, 2024 Brian Ortega L -20
Jul 8, 2023 Alexander Volkanovski L -19
Feb 11, 2023 Josh Emmett W +22
Jul 16, 2022 Brian Ortega W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
45%
5 / 11
Finish rate
KO
4
36% of wins
SUB
1
9% of wins
DEC
6
55% of wins
KO: 4 (36%) 4 Sub: 1 (9%) 1 Dec: 6 (55%) 6
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
3 60%
R3
R4
R5
1 20%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 982 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
75%
of losses by finish
3 of 4 · usually R3
2 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1648
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brian Ortega
Elo 1672 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.1
+2.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500
Notable wins
Brian Ortega 1672 Josh Emmett 1660 Chan Sung Jung 1609 BJ Penn 1602

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Yair Rodriguez on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.