HonestElo
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Nurullo Aliev

Active #20 lightweight
Elo rating
1584 ±20
LCB 1558
Rank
#20
top 19% of division
UFC record
3-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Feb 25, 2023 — W vs Rafael Alves Δ+28Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Joe Solecki Δ+32Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Shem Rock Δ+24 14881522155615901624 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2023-02-25","opp":"Rafael Alves","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":607.9,"y":123.5,"elo":1560,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Joe Solecki","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":86.3,"elo":1584,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Shem Rock","result":"W","delta":24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Shem Rock W +24
Jan 11, 2025 Joe Solecki W +32
Feb 25, 2023 Rafael Alves W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.33 avg 4.11
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.73 avg 3.45
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.00 avg 1.59
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
80% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.33 avg 0.53
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
8 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (100%) 3

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1519
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual +1 vs expected