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Charles Oliveira "Do Bronxs"

Active #2 lightweight · age 36 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1686
Global Elo 1740 ±42
Rank
#2
top 1% of division
UFC record
25-11-0
KO 4 · Sub 17 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
Win by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 48m
Avg fight time
8:00
Title fights
2-2
Bonuses
21
Fights per year
2.3
Ground control
1h 40m
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

36 fights · tap & drag
Aug 1, 2010 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+37Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+35Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-27Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-31Jan 28, 2012 — W vs Eric Wisely Δ+32Jun 1, 2012 — W vs Jonathan Brookins Δ+18Sep 22, 2012 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-19Jul 6, 2013 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-12Feb 15, 2014 — W vs Andy Ogle Δ+15Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Hatsu Hioki Δ+16Dec 12, 2014 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+16May 30, 2015 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+21Aug 23, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-17Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Myles Jury Δ+22Aug 27, 2016 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-18Nov 5, 2016 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-17Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Will Brooks Δ+15Dec 2, 2017 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-18Jun 9, 2018 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+19Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Christos Giagos Δ+13Dec 15, 2018 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+18Feb 2, 2019 — W vs David Teymur Δ+20May 18, 2019 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+18Nov 16, 2019 — W vs Jared Gordon Δ+12Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Kevin Lee Δ+17Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+18May 15, 2021 — W vs Michael Chandler Δ+13Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+25May 7, 2022 — W vs Justin Gaethje Δ+13Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-26Jun 10, 2023 — W vs Beneil Dariush Δ+18Apr 13, 2024 — L vs Arman Tsarukyan Δ-20Nov 16, 2024 — W vs Michael Chandler Δ+8Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Ilia Topuria Δ-23Oct 11, 2025 — W vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ+16Mar 7, 2026 — W vs Max Holloway Δ+17 14001450150015501600165017001750 20132016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":334.4,"elo":1483,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":95.7,"y":302,"elo":1518,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":106.7,"y":326.7,"elo":1491,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":137.8,"y":355.4,"elo":1460,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":158.9,"y":326.3,"elo":1492,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Eric Wisely","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":174.7,"y":309.7,"elo":1510,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Jonathan Brookins","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":189,"y":327.5,"elo":1490,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":225.2,"y":339,"elo":1478,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":8,"x":253.5,"y":325.1,"elo":1493,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Andy Ogle","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":270.3,"y":310.6,"elo":1509,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Hatsu Hioki","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":291.5,"y":296.4,"elo":1524,"date":"2014-12-12","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":312.8,"y":277.6,"elo":1545,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":12,"x":323.6,"y":293.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":338.5,"y":273.7,"elo":1549,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":14,"x":370.3,"y":290.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":379.2,"y":306.2,"elo":1514,"date":"2016-11-05","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":398.6,"y":292.3,"elo":1529,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Will Brooks","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":428.7,"y":309.1,"elo":1510,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":452.6,"y":292,"elo":1529,"date":"2018-06-09","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":19,"x":465.9,"y":280.1,"elo":1542,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":20,"x":476.5,"y":263.4,"elo":1560,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":21,"x":482.7,"y":245.2,"elo":1580,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"David Teymur","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":22,"x":495.9,"y":228.4,"elo":1599,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":23,"x":518.9,"y":217.7,"elo":1610,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":24,"x":534,"y":202.3,"elo":1627,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":25,"x":568.5,"y":186,"elo":1645,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":26,"x":587.9,"y":173.7,"elo":1658,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Michael Chandler","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":27,"x":614.5,"y":150.9,"elo":1683,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":28,"x":633.1,"y":138.9,"elo":1697,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":29,"x":654.3,"y":162.5,"elo":1671,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":30,"x":683.5,"y":146.2,"elo":1689,"date":"2023-06-10","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":31,"x":722.4,"y":164.3,"elo":1669,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Arman Tsarukyan","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":32,"x":749.8,"y":157,"elo":1677,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Michael Chandler","result":"W","delta":8},{"i":33,"x":778.2,"y":178,"elo":1654,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Ilia Topuria","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":34,"x":791.4,"y":163.9,"elo":1669,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":35,"x":810,"y":148.5,"elo":1686,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Max Holloway W +17
Oct 11, 2025 Mateusz Gamrot W +16
Jun 28, 2025 Ilia Topuria L -23
Nov 16, 2024 Michael Chandler W +8
Apr 13, 2024 Arman Tsarukyan L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
84%
21 / 25
Finish rate
KO
4
16% of wins
SUB
17
68% of wins
DEC
4
16% of wins
KO: 4 (16%) 4 Sub: 17 (68%) 17 Dec: 4 (16%) 4
Finishes by round
21 total
R1
9 43%
R2
7 33%
R3
5 24%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 923 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
59% Distance
  • Distance 59%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
82%
of losses by finish
9 of 11 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 4 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1663
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
11
of 25 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Dustin Poirier
Elo 1742 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
18.9
+6.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 36 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1536
1740
Notable wins
Dustin Poirier 1742 Max Holloway 1740 Tony Ferguson 1719 Beneil Dariush 1712 Mateusz Gamrot 1652 David Teymur 1644

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Grant Dawson
#6 · Elo 1642
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Charles Oliveira on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.