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Cub Swanson

Active #18 featherweight · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1573
Global Elo 1619 ±35
Rank
#18
top 22% of division
UFC record
16-10-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 · Dec 8
Streak
+2
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Apr 11, 2026
Win by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 11m
Avg fight time
11:57
Bonuses
17
Fights per year
1.8
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

26 fights · tap & drag
Nov 12, 2011 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-31Jan 28, 2012 — W vs George Roop Δ+33Jun 22, 2012 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+40Sep 22, 2012 — W vs Charles Oliveira Δ+35Feb 16, 2013 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+30Jul 6, 2013 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+18Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Jeremy Stephens Δ+13Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-18Apr 18, 2015 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-20Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Hacran Dias Δ+14Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Tatsuya Kawajiri Δ+13Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Dooho Choi Δ+15Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Artem Lobov Δ+10Dec 9, 2017 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-19Apr 21, 2018 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-14Aug 4, 2018 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-20May 4, 2019 — L vs Shane Burgos Δ-17Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Kron Gracie Δ+14Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Daniel Pineda Δ+14May 1, 2021 — L vs Giga Chikadze Δ-17Dec 18, 2021 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+20Oct 15, 2022 — L vs Jonathan Martinez Δ-20Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Hakeem Dawodu Δ+15Jun 29, 2024 — L vs Andre Fili Δ-19Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Billy Quarantillo Δ+17Apr 11, 2026 — W vs Nate Landwehr Δ+14 140014501500155016001650 20142017202020232026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":379.9,"elo":1424,"date":"2011-11-12","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":100.5,"y":337.6,"elo":1457,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"George Roop","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":120.5,"y":286,"elo":1497,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":3,"x":133.1,"y":241,"elo":1532,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":153.2,"y":202.8,"elo":1562,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":172.3,"y":180.4,"elo":1579,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":221.2,"y":163.3,"elo":1593,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Jeremy Stephens","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":241.3,"y":186,"elo":1575,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":261.4,"y":211.1,"elo":1555,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":311.2,"y":193.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Hacran Dias","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":326.5,"y":177.3,"elo":1582,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Tatsuya Kawajiri","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":11,"x":343.7,"y":158.7,"elo":1596,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":361.9,"y":145.9,"elo":1606,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Artem Lobov","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":13,"x":393.5,"y":170.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2017-12-09","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":14,"x":411.7,"y":187.9,"elo":1574,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":15,"x":426.1,"y":213.5,"elo":1554,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":16,"x":463.4,"y":235.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Shane Burgos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":485.4,"y":218,"elo":1550,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Kron Gracie","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":543.8,"y":199.8,"elo":1564,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Daniel Pineda","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":19,"x":563,"y":222.1,"elo":1547,"date":"2021-05-01","opp":"Giga Chikadze","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":594.6,"y":197,"elo":1566,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":21,"x":635.7,"y":223,"elo":1546,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Jonathan Martinez","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":22,"x":676.9,"y":203.3,"elo":1562,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Hakeem Dawodu","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":23,"x":721,"y":228.1,"elo":1542,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":24,"x":743.9,"y":206.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Billy Quarantillo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":25,"x":810,"y":188.7,"elo":1573,"date":"2026-04-11","opp":"Nate Landwehr","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 11, 2026 Nate Landwehr W +14
Dec 14, 2024 Billy Quarantillo W +17
Jun 29, 2024 Andre Fili L -19
Aug 12, 2023 Hakeem Dawodu W +15
Oct 15, 2022 Jonathan Martinez L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
8 / 16
Finish rate
KO
8
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
8
50% of wins
KO: 8 (50%) 8 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 8 (50%) 8
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
3 38%
R2
3 38%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1645 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
70%
of losses by finish
7 of 10 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 5 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Darren Elkins
Elo 1616 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.8
+2.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 26 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1527
1517
Notable wins
Darren Elkins 1616

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Cub Swanson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.