HonestElo
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Diego Ferreira

Active #31 lightweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1578 ±34
LCB 1534
Rank
#31
top 30% of division
UFC record
10-7-0
KO 5 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Sep 13, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Colton Smith Δ+31Aug 30, 2014 — W vs Ramsey Nijem Δ+34Oct 25, 2014 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-32Apr 4, 2015 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-26Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier Δ+33Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Jared Gordon Δ+20Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Kyle Nelson Δ+15Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Rustam Khabilov Δ+19Sep 7, 2019 — W vs Mairbek Taisumov Δ+18Jan 18, 2020 — W vs Anthony Pettis Δ+19Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-14May 8, 2021 — L vs Gregor Gillespie Δ-17Dec 18, 2021 — L vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ-21May 20, 2023 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+15May 11, 2024 — W vs Mateusz Rebecki Δ+19Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Grant Dawson Δ-12Sep 13, 2025 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-20 14661517156816181669 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":168.7,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Colton Smith","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":37.1,"y":133.6,"elo":1564,"date":"2014-08-30","opp":"Ramsey Nijem","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":48.8,"y":166.7,"elo":1532,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":82.3,"y":194.2,"elo":1506,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":144.9,"y":159.6,"elo":1539,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Olivier Aubin-Mercier","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":300.9,"y":139.1,"elo":1559,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":361.9,"y":123.2,"elo":1574,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Kyle Nelson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":377.9,"y":103.9,"elo":1593,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Rustam Khabilov","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":418.7,"y":85.2,"elo":1611,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Mairbek Taisumov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":446.4,"y":65.8,"elo":1629,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":526.5,"y":80.6,"elo":1615,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":545.4,"y":98.4,"elo":1598,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Gregor Gillespie","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":592,"y":120.3,"elo":1577,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":13,"x":699.8,"y":104.3,"elo":1592,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":774.1,"y":85.1,"elo":1611,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Mateusz Rebecki","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":826.5,"y":98.1,"elo":1598,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":119,"elo":1578,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 13, 2025 Alexander Hernandez L -20
Jan 18, 2025 Grant Dawson L -12
May 11, 2024 Mateusz Rebecki W +19
May 20, 2023 Michael Johnson W +15
Dec 18, 2021 Mateusz Gamrot L -21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.08 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.01 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.71 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
58% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.47 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
7 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 5 (50%) 5 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 3 (30%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
2 29%
R2
4 57%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1583
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.3
actual +2 vs expected