HonestElo
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Nikolas Motta

Active #55 lightweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1523 ±37
LCB 1476
Rank
#55
top 54% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Jun 21, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Feb 19, 2022 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-25Sep 17, 2022 — W vs Cameron Vancamp Δ+33Jun 17, 2023 — L vs Manuel Torres Δ-31Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Tom Nolan Δ+35Nov 23, 2024 — W vs Maheshate Δ+28Jun 21, 2025 — L vs Nazim Sadykhov Δ-16 14351471150715431579 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":177.3,"elo":1475,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":170.9,"y":129.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Cameron Vancamp","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":361.9,"y":175.1,"elo":1476,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Manuel Torres","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":508.8,"y":123.1,"elo":1512,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Tom Nolan","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":729.1,"y":82.7,"elo":1539,"date":"2024-11-23","opp":"Maheshate","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":106.4,"elo":1523,"date":"2025-06-21","opp":"Nazim Sadykhov","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 21, 2025 Nazim Sadykhov L -16
Nov 23, 2024 Maheshate W +28
Jan 13, 2024 Tom Nolan W +35
Jun 17, 2023 Manuel Torres L -31
Sep 17, 2022 Cameron Vancamp W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.34 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.74 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1516
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected