HonestElo
← welterweight

Thiago Alves "Pitbull"

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2005
Elo rating
1506
Global Elo 1547 ±32
Rank
—
—
UFC record
15-12-0
KO 7 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Dec 7, 2019
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 57m
Avg fight time
10:59
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
6
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
6y 7mo

Honest Elo history

27 fights · tap & drag
Oct 3, 2005 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-33Nov 19, 2005 — W vs Ansar Chalangov Δ+36Apr 15, 2006 — W vs Derrick Noble Δ+33Jun 28, 2006 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-30Oct 10, 2006 — W vs John Alessio Δ+25Dec 30, 2006 — W vs Tony DeSouza Δ+20Sep 19, 2007 — W vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka Δ+16Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Chris Lytle Δ+12Apr 2, 2008 — W vs Karo Parisyan Δ+21Jun 7, 2008 — W vs Matt Hughes Δ+22Oct 25, 2008 — W vs Josh Koscheck Δ+17Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-15Aug 7, 2010 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-12Dec 11, 2010 — W vs John Howard Δ+14May 28, 2011 — L vs Rick Story Δ-16Nov 5, 2011 — W vs Papy Abedi Δ+13Mar 2, 2012 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-20Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+15Jan 31, 2015 — W vs Jordan Mein Δ+16May 30, 2015 — L vs Carlos Condit Δ-17Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+12Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Curtis Millender Δ-24Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Aleksei Kunchenko Δ-20Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+13May 11, 2019 — L vs Laureano Staropoli Δ-18Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Tim Means Δ-20 140014501500155016001650 2008201120142017 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":370.4,"elo":1431,"date":"2005-10-03","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":96.5,"y":324.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2005-11-19","opp":"Ansar Chalangov","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":117,"y":282,"elo":1500,"date":"2006-04-15","opp":"Derrick Noble","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":127.3,"y":320.8,"elo":1470,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":141.7,"y":289.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"John Alessio","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":153,"y":264.2,"elo":1514,"date":"2006-12-30","opp":"Tony DeSouza","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":189.6,"y":243.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2007-09-19","opp":"Kuniyoshi Hironaka","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":197.8,"y":228.8,"elo":1542,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":216.8,"y":201.7,"elo":1563,"date":"2008-04-02","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":226,"y":173.3,"elo":1585,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":10,"x":245.5,"y":152.1,"elo":1602,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":281.5,"y":171.9,"elo":1586,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":336,"y":187.8,"elo":1574,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":353.5,"y":169.6,"elo":1588,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"John Howard","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":376.9,"y":190.4,"elo":1572,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Rick Story","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":399.2,"y":174,"elo":1584,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Papy Abedi","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":415.7,"y":199.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":523.8,"y":180.2,"elo":1580,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":563.7,"y":159.4,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Jordan Mein","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":580.3,"y":181.3,"elo":1579,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":654.3,"y":200.5,"elo":1564,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":21,"x":674.7,"y":184.6,"elo":1576,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":22,"x":718.6,"y":215.6,"elo":1552,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Curtis Millender","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":23,"x":747.7,"y":241,"elo":1532,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Aleksei Kunchenko","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":24,"x":767.2,"y":224.8,"elo":1545,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":25,"x":780.8,"y":248.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Laureano Staropoli","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":26,"x":810,"y":274.2,"elo":1506,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2019 Tim Means L -20
May 11, 2019 Laureano Staropoli L -18
Feb 2, 2019 Max Griffin W +13
Sep 15, 2018 Aleksei Kunchenko L -20
Feb 18, 2018 Curtis Millender L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
53%
8 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
6
40% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 1 (7%) Dec: 6 (43%) 6
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
3 33%
R2
6 67%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1106 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 35%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
6 of 12 · usually R2
3 KO/TKO 3 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1510
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Matt Hughes
Elo 1672 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
14.2
+0.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 27 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1530
Notable wins
Matt Hughes 1672 Josh Koscheck 1633 Karo Parisyan 1629

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Thiago Alves on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.