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Thiago Alves

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1547 ±33
LCB 1504
Rank
—
—
UFC record
15-12-0
KO 7 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Dec 7, 2019
L by Submission

Elo history

27 fights · tap & drag
Oct 3, 2005 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-33Nov 19, 2005 — W vs Ansar Chalangov Δ+36Apr 15, 2006 — W vs Derrick Noble Δ+33Jun 28, 2006 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-30Oct 10, 2006 — W vs John Alessio Δ+25Dec 30, 2006 — W vs Tony DeSouza Δ+20Sep 19, 2007 — W vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka Δ+16Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Chris Lytle Δ+12Apr 2, 2008 — W vs Karo Parisyan Δ+21Jun 7, 2008 — W vs Matt Hughes Δ+22Oct 25, 2008 — W vs Josh Koscheck Δ+17Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-15Aug 7, 2010 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-12Dec 11, 2010 — W vs John Howard Δ+14May 28, 2011 — L vs Rick Story Δ-16Nov 5, 2011 — W vs Papy Abedi Δ+13Mar 2, 2012 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-20Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+15Jan 31, 2015 — W vs Jordan Mein Δ+16May 30, 2015 — L vs Carlos Condit Δ-17Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-15Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Patrick Cote Δ+12Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Curtis Millender Δ-24Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Aleksei Kunchenko Δ-20Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+13May 11, 2019 — L vs Laureano Staropoli Δ-18Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Tim Means Δ-20 14271490155216151677 2008201120142017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2005-10-03","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":31.7,"y":171.5,"elo":1503,"date":"2005-11-19","opp":"Ansar Chalangov","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":55.9,"y":143.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2006-04-15","opp":"Derrick Noble","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":68.1,"y":169.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":85.2,"y":148.4,"elo":1530,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"John Alessio","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":98.5,"y":131.9,"elo":1550,"date":"2006-12-30","opp":"Tony DeSouza","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":141.8,"y":118.2,"elo":1566,"date":"2007-09-19","opp":"Kuniyoshi Hironaka","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":151.5,"y":108.5,"elo":1578,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":174.1,"y":90.6,"elo":1599,"date":"2008-04-02","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":184.9,"y":71.8,"elo":1621,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":10,"x":208,"y":57.9,"elo":1637,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":250.6,"y":71,"elo":1622,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":315.1,"y":81.5,"elo":1610,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":335.8,"y":69.4,"elo":1624,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"John Howard","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":363.5,"y":83.2,"elo":1608,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Rick Story","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":389.9,"y":72.2,"elo":1620,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Papy Abedi","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":409.4,"y":89.1,"elo":1601,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":537.4,"y":76.5,"elo":1615,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":584.6,"y":62.7,"elo":1632,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Jordan Mein","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":604.2,"y":77.1,"elo":1615,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":691.7,"y":89.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":21,"x":715.9,"y":79.3,"elo":1612,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":22,"x":767.9,"y":99.7,"elo":1588,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Curtis Millender","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":23,"x":802.3,"y":116.7,"elo":1568,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Aleksei Kunchenko","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":24,"x":825.3,"y":105.8,"elo":1581,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":25,"x":841.4,"y":121.5,"elo":1562,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Laureano Staropoli","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":26,"x":876,"y":138.5,"elo":1542,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2019 Tim Means L -20
May 11, 2019 Laureano Staropoli L -18
Feb 2, 2019 Max Griffin W +13
Sep 15, 2018 Aleksei Kunchenko L -20
Feb 18, 2018 Curtis Millender L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.40 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.12 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.65 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
61% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.28 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
53%
8 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
6
40% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 1 (7%) Dec: 6 (43%) 6
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
3 33%
R2
6 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1510
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
14.2
actual +1 vs expected