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Michael Chiesa "Maverick"

Active #13 welterweight · age 38 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • 60% of wins by submission
  • 88% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2012
Elo rating
1616
Global Elo 1660 ±34
Rank
#13
top 16% of division
UFC record
15-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 9 · Dec 6
Streak
+4
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
Win by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 23m
Avg fight time
9:13
Title fights
1-0
Bonuses
8
Fights per year
1.6
Ground control
1h 21m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

22 fights · tap & drag
Jun 1, 2012 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+41Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Anton Kuivanen Δ+29Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-37Nov 6, 2013 — W vs Colton Smith Δ+30May 24, 2014 — W vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ+27Sep 5, 2014 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-16Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Mitch Clarke Δ+13Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+21Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Beneil Dariush Δ+19Jun 25, 2017 — L vs Kevin Lee Δ-18Jul 7, 2018 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-19Dec 29, 2018 — W vs Carlos Condit Δ+17Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+16Jan 25, 2020 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+18Jan 20, 2021 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+17Aug 7, 2021 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-17Nov 20, 2021 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-17Jul 29, 2023 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-20Aug 3, 2024 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+18Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+14Jun 14, 2025 — W vs Court McGee Δ+10Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Niko Price Δ+11 14501500155016001650 2015201820212024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":334.2,"elo":1497,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":128.1,"y":287.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Anton Kuivanen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":150,"y":346,"elo":1490,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":164.6,"y":297.8,"elo":1520,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Colton Smith","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":193,"y":254.5,"elo":1547,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":207.8,"y":280.6,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":237.9,"y":259.4,"elo":1544,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Mitch Clarke","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":273.6,"y":225.2,"elo":1566,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":291.8,"y":194.3,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":353.9,"y":223,"elo":1567,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":407.6,"y":252.9,"elo":1548,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":432.6,"y":226,"elo":1565,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":459.6,"y":200.6,"elo":1581,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":488.5,"y":172.4,"elo":1599,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":540,"y":144.9,"elo":1616,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":568.4,"y":171.6,"elo":1599,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":583.4,"y":198.5,"elo":1582,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":671.2,"y":229.8,"elo":1563,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":18,"x":724.1,"y":201.2,"elo":1581,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":19,"x":742.1,"y":178.2,"elo":1595,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":20,"x":769.1,"y":162.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":21,"x":810,"y":144.6,"elo":1616,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Niko Price W +11
Jun 14, 2025 Court McGee W +10
Dec 7, 2024 Max Griffin W +14
Aug 3, 2024 Tony Ferguson W +18
Jul 29, 2023 Kevin Holland L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
9 / 15
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
9
60% of wins
DEC
6
40% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 9 (60%) 9 Dec: 6 (40%) 6
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
3 33%
R2
5 56%
R3
1 11%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 409 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
86%
of losses by finish
6 of 7 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 5 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1550
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
5
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Neil Magny
Elo 1669 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
11.7
+3.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 22 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1504
Notable wins
Neil Magny 1669 Rafael Dos Anjos 1658 Jim Miller 1646 Beneil Dariush 1627 Diego Sanchez 1608

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Michael Chiesa on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.