HonestElo
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Mac Danzig

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1481 ±38
LCB 1431
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-8-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +20 · Δ1y +20
Last fight
Dec 14, 2013
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 8, 2007 — W vs Tommy Speer Δ+41Apr 19, 2008 — W vs Mark Bocek Δ+29Sep 17, 2008 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-34Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Josh Neer Δ-38Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-25Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Justin Buchholz Δ+15Jun 12, 2010 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-14Dec 11, 2010 — W vs Joe Stevenson Δ+25Oct 1, 2011 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-12Apr 21, 2012 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+17Nov 10, 2012 — L vs Takanori Gomi Δ-16Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-15Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-11 14211468151615631611 200820092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":101.2,"elo":1541,"date":"2007-12-08","opp":"Tommy Speer","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":75.6,"y":68.7,"elo":1571,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":134.1,"y":106.9,"elo":1536,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":189.5,"y":149.5,"elo":1498,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":249.2,"y":177.6,"elo":1473,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":330.6,"y":160.8,"elo":1488,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Justin Buchholz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":379.5,"y":176.5,"elo":1474,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":450,"y":149.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":8,"x":564,"y":162.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":9,"x":642.6,"y":143.6,"elo":1504,"date":"2012-04-21","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":721.3,"y":161.5,"elo":1488,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Takanori Gomi","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":821.7,"y":178.4,"elo":1472,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":191.3,"elo":1461,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 14, 2013 Joe Lauzon L -11
Jul 27, 2013 Melvin Guillard L -15
Nov 10, 2012 Takanori Gomi L -16
Apr 21, 2012 Efrain Escudero W +17
Oct 1, 2011 Matt Wiman L -12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.17 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.08 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.16 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
48% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.58 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1544
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.0
actual -1 vs expected