HonestElo
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Mac Danzig

Inactive · age 46 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1432
Global Elo 1481 ±37
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-8-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +20 · Δ1y +20
Last fight
Dec 14, 2013
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 21m
Avg fight time
10:50
Title fights
1-0
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.2
Ground control
31m
Since last fight
12y 6mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 8, 2007 — W vs Tommy Speer Δ+41Apr 19, 2008 — W vs Mark Bocek Δ+29Sep 17, 2008 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-34Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Josh Neer Δ-38Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-25Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Justin Buchholz Δ+15Jun 12, 2010 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-14Dec 11, 2010 — W vs Joe Stevenson Δ+25Oct 1, 2011 — L vs Matt Wiman Δ-12Apr 21, 2012 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+17Nov 10, 2012 — L vs Takanori Gomi Δ-16Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-15Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-11 14001425145014751500152515501575 200820092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":203.9,"elo":1513,"date":"2007-12-08","opp":"Tommy Speer","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":133.6,"y":150.7,"elo":1542,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":183,"y":213.2,"elo":1508,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":229.9,"y":282.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":280.3,"y":328.8,"elo":1444,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":349.1,"y":301.4,"elo":1459,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Justin Buchholz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":390.4,"y":327.2,"elo":1445,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":450,"y":282.2,"elo":1470,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":8,"x":546.3,"y":304.5,"elo":1458,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":9,"x":612.8,"y":273.2,"elo":1475,"date":"2012-04-21","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":679.3,"y":302.5,"elo":1459,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Takanori Gomi","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":764.1,"y":330.3,"elo":1444,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":351.3,"elo":1432,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 14, 2013 Joe Lauzon L -11
Jul 27, 2013 Melvin Guillard L -15
Nov 10, 2012 Takanori Gomi L -16
Apr 21, 2012 Efrain Escudero W +17
Oct 1, 2011 Matt Wiman L -12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 492 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
38%
of losses by finish
3 of 8 · usually R2
1 KO/TKO 2 Sub 5 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1544
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Joe Stevenson
Elo 1596 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.0
−1.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1573

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Mac Danzig on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.