HonestElo
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Scott Holtzman

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1528 ±35
LCB 1483
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Dec 3, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Aug 8, 2015 — W vs Anthony Christodoulou Δ+30Jan 2, 2016 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-35Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Cody Pfister Δ+26Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Josh Emmett Δ-28Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Michael McBride Δ+28Dec 9, 2017 — W vs Darrell Horcher Δ+15Oct 6, 2018 — W vs Alan Patrick Δ+22Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Nik Lentz Δ-13Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Dong Hyun Ma Δ+14Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+18Aug 8, 2020 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-14Apr 10, 2021 — L vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ-23Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-16 14531494153515761617 201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":136.4,"elo":1530,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Anthony Christodoulou","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":70.8,"y":182.1,"elo":1495,"date":"2016-01-02","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":2,"x":132.3,"y":148,"elo":1521,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Cody Pfister","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":182.4,"y":184.3,"elo":1493,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":222.5,"y":148.7,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Michael McBride","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":296.1,"y":128.8,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-12-09","opp":"Darrell Horcher","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":392,"y":100.6,"elo":1558,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":434.7,"y":117.8,"elo":1545,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":8,"x":487.9,"y":99.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Dong Hyun Ma","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":550.4,"y":75.7,"elo":1577,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":606.1,"y":94.4,"elo":1563,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":684.2,"y":124.2,"elo":1540,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":144.9,"elo":1524,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 3, 2022 Clay Guida L -16
Apr 10, 2021 Mateusz Gamrot L -23
Aug 8, 2020 Beneil Dariush L -14
Feb 15, 2020 Jim Miller W +18
Aug 3, 2019 Dong Hyun Ma W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.13 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.50 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.80 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
57% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.17 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
4
57% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
1 33%
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1556
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.5
actual 0 vs expected