HonestElo
← lightweight

Roosevelt Roberts "The Predator"

Active #57 lightweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • UFC veteran since 2018
Elo rating
1469
Global Elo 1516 ±36
Rank
#57
top 64% of division
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-4
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Sep 28, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 34m
Avg fight time
10:25
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.5
Ground control
20m
Since last fight
1y 9mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Darrell Horcher Δ+31Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Thomas Gifford Δ+26Jun 29, 2019 — L vs Vinc Pichel Δ-27Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Alexander Yakovlev Δ+28May 30, 2020 — W vs Brok Weaver Δ+28Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-18Aug 21, 2021 — L vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ-23Nov 11, 2023 — L vs Mateusz Rebecki Δ-17Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Ludovit Klein Δ-14 1425145014751500152515501575 201920202021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":276.2,"elo":1488,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Darrell Horcher","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":140.1,"y":220.3,"elo":1514,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Thomas Gifford","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":161.4,"y":279,"elo":1486,"date":"2019-06-29","opp":"Vinc Pichel","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":206.3,"y":220.3,"elo":1514,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Alexander Yakovlev","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":275,"y":161.3,"elo":1542,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Brok Weaver","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":282.1,"y":200.5,"elo":1523,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":426.5,"y":249.8,"elo":1500,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":7,"x":701.1,"y":286.9,"elo":1483,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Mateusz Rebecki","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":315.9,"elo":1469,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 28, 2024 Ludovit Klein L -14
Nov 11, 2023 Mateusz Rebecki L -17
Aug 21, 2021 Ignacio Bahamondes L -23
Jun 20, 2020 Jim Miller L -18
May 30, 2020 Brok Weaver W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 250 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 2 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Alexander Yakovlev
Elo 1514 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.7
−0.7 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1481
1580

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Roosevelt Roberts on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.