HonestElo
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Roosevelt Roberts

Active #59 lightweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1515 ±35
LCB 1470
Rank
#59
top 58% of division
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-4
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Sep 28, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Darrell Horcher Δ+31Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Thomas Gifford Δ+26Jun 29, 2019 — L vs Vinc Pichel Δ-27Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Alexander Yakovlev Δ+28May 30, 2020 — W vs Brok Weaver Δ+28Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-18Aug 21, 2021 — L vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ-23Nov 11, 2023 — L vs Mateusz Rebecki Δ-17Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Ludovit Klein Δ-14 14731511154915871625 201920202021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":154.5,"elo":1531,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Darrell Horcher","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":83.2,"y":118.1,"elo":1558,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Thomas Gifford","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":108.4,"y":156.3,"elo":1530,"date":"2019-06-29","opp":"Vinc Pichel","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":161.7,"y":118.1,"elo":1558,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Alexander Yakovlev","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":242.9,"y":79.6,"elo":1585,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Brok Weaver","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":251.3,"y":105.2,"elo":1567,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":422.2,"y":137.3,"elo":1544,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":7,"x":747.1,"y":161.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Mateusz Rebecki","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":180.4,"elo":1513,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 28, 2024 Ludovit Klein L -14
Nov 11, 2023 Mateusz Rebecki L -17
Aug 21, 2021 Ignacio Bahamondes L -23
Jun 20, 2020 Jim Miller L -18
May 30, 2020 Brok Weaver W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.50 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.96 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
48% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.7
actual -1 vs expected