HonestElo
← lightweight

Dan Hooker

Active #21 lightweight · Switch · 183 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1600 ±34
LCB 1556
Rank
#21
top 20% of division
UFC record
14-10-0
KO 7 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -33
Last fight
Jan 31, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Ian Entwistle Δ+33Sep 20, 2014 — L vs Maximo Blanco Δ-31May 9, 2015 — W vs Hatsu Hioki Δ+31Oct 3, 2015 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-26Mar 19, 2016 — W vs Mark Eddiva Δ+29Nov 26, 2016 — L vs Jason Knight Δ-17Jun 10, 2017 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+19Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Marc Diakiese Δ+19Apr 21, 2018 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+21Jul 7, 2018 — W vs Gilbert Burns Δ+19Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-17Jul 20, 2019 — W vs James Vick Δ+21Oct 5, 2019 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+16Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Paul Felder Δ+16Jun 27, 2020 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-13Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Michael Chandler Δ-24Sep 25, 2021 — W vs Nasrat Haqparast Δ+14Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-15Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Arnold Allen Δ-14Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Claudio Puelles Δ+19Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Jalin Turner Δ+15Aug 17, 2024 — W vs Mateusz Gamrot Δ+18Nov 22, 2025 — L vs Arman Tsarukyan Δ-16Jan 31, 2026 — L vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ-17 14621515156816211674 201620182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":164.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Ian Entwistle","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":40.9,"y":196,"elo":1502,"date":"2014-09-20","opp":"Maximo Blanco","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":87.4,"y":164.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"Hatsu Hioki","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":116.9,"y":191.1,"elo":1507,"date":"2015-10-03","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":150.7,"y":161.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Mark Eddiva","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":201.4,"y":179,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-11-26","opp":"Jason Knight","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":240.9,"y":159.7,"elo":1538,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":281.7,"y":140.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Marc Diakiese","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":304.2,"y":119.9,"elo":1578,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":319.7,"y":100.5,"elo":1597,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":352.1,"y":117.4,"elo":1580,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":395.8,"y":96.2,"elo":1601,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"James Vick","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":12,"x":411.3,"y":80.3,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-10-05","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":439.4,"y":64,"elo":1634,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":464.8,"y":77.2,"elo":1620,"date":"2020-06-27","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":15,"x":507,"y":101.7,"elo":1596,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Michael Chandler","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":16,"x":556.3,"y":87.6,"elo":1610,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Nasrat Haqparast","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":17,"x":563.4,"y":102.3,"elo":1595,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":18,"x":591.5,"y":116.8,"elo":1581,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":19,"x":639.4,"y":97.6,"elo":1600,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Claudio Puelles","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":20,"x":687.3,"y":82.4,"elo":1615,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":21,"x":769,"y":64.5,"elo":1633,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Mateusz Gamrot","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":22,"x":861.9,"y":80.5,"elo":1617,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Arman Tsarukyan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":97.4,"elo":1600,"date":"2026-01-31","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 31, 2026 Benoit Saint Denis L -17
Nov 22, 2025 Arman Tsarukyan L -16
Aug 17, 2024 Mateusz Gamrot W +18
Jul 8, 2023 Jalin Turner W +15
Nov 12, 2022 Claudio Puelles W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.26 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.37 avg 3.36
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
77% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.49 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
64%
9 / 14
Finish rate
KO
7
50% of wins
SUB
2
14% of wins
DEC
5
36% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 2 (14%) 2 Dec: 5 (36%) 5
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
5 56%
R2
3 33%
R3
1 11%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1632
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
11.7
actual +2 vs expected