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Danny Castillo

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1535 ±35
LCB 1490
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-4
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Dec 19, 2015
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Mar 3, 2011 — W vs Joe Stevenson Δ+35Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Jacob Volkmann Δ-28Nov 19, 2011 — W vs Shamar Bailey Δ+33Dec 30, 2011 — W vs Anthony Njokuani Δ+26May 5, 2012 — W vs John Cholish Δ+26Oct 5, 2012 — L vs Michael Johnson Δ-21Feb 16, 2013 — W vs Paul Sass Δ+16Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Tim Means Δ+13Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Apr 26, 2014 — W vs Charlie Brenneman Δ+14Aug 30, 2014 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-16Jan 3, 2015 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-21Jul 25, 2015 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-13Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Nik Lentz Δ-14 14661510155315961639 2012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":152.2,"elo":1535,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":103.8,"y":186.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Jacob Volkmann","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":150.9,"y":146.4,"elo":1539,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Shamar Bailey","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":170.9,"y":114.8,"elo":1565,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Anthony Njokuani","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":232.6,"y":82.6,"elo":1591,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"John Cholish","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":307,"y":108.8,"elo":1570,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":372.2,"y":89.6,"elo":1586,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Paul Sass","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":450.5,"y":73.2,"elo":1599,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":518.6,"y":92.6,"elo":1583,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":583.2,"y":75.9,"elo":1597,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Charlie Brenneman","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":644.5,"y":95.3,"elo":1581,"date":"2014-08-30","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":705.8,"y":121.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":804.5,"y":136.7,"elo":1547,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":153.4,"elo":1534,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 19, 2015 Nik Lentz L -14
Jul 25, 2015 Jim Miller L -13
Jan 3, 2015 Paul Felder L -21
Aug 30, 2014 Tony Ferguson L -16
Apr 26, 2014 Charlie Brenneman W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.55 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.99 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.51 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.24 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1571
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.2
actual 0 vs expected