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Danny Castillo "Last Call"

Inactive · age 46 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1492
Global Elo 1535 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-4
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Dec 19, 2015
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 53m
Avg fight time
12:23
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.9
Ground control
1h 5m
Since last fight
10y 6mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Mar 3, 2011 — W vs Joe Stevenson Δ+35Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Jacob Volkmann Δ-28Nov 19, 2011 — W vs Shamar Bailey Δ+33Dec 30, 2011 — W vs Anthony Njokuani Δ+26May 5, 2012 — W vs John Cholish Δ+26Oct 5, 2012 — L vs Michael Johnson Δ-21Feb 16, 2013 — W vs Paul Sass Δ+16Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Tim Means Δ+13Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Apr 26, 2014 — W vs Charlie Brenneman Δ+14Aug 30, 2014 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-16Jan 3, 2015 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-21Jul 25, 2015 — L vs Jim Miller Δ-13Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Nik Lentz Δ-14 14251450147515001525155015751600 2012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":285.7,"elo":1493,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Joe Stevenson","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":157.4,"y":337.2,"elo":1465,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Jacob Volkmann","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":197.3,"y":277.1,"elo":1498,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Shamar Bailey","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":214.1,"y":230.1,"elo":1523,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Anthony Njokuani","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":266.3,"y":182.2,"elo":1550,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"John Cholish","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":329.2,"y":221.1,"elo":1528,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":384.2,"y":192.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Paul Sass","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":450.4,"y":168.1,"elo":1557,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":507.9,"y":197,"elo":1542,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":562.6,"y":172.1,"elo":1555,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Charlie Brenneman","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":614.4,"y":201,"elo":1539,"date":"2014-08-30","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":666.2,"y":239.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":749.6,"y":262.6,"elo":1506,"date":"2015-07-25","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":287.5,"elo":1492,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 19, 2015 Nik Lentz L -14
Jul 25, 2015 Jim Miller L -13
Jan 3, 2015 Paul Felder L -21
Aug 30, 2014 Tony Ferguson L -16
Apr 26, 2014 Charlie Brenneman W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 471 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
57% Distance
  • Distance 57%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 28%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
29%
of losses by finish
2 of 7 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 5 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1571
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Joe Stevenson
Elo 1571 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.2
−0.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1571
1598

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Danny Castillo on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.