HonestElo
← lightweight

Vinc Pichel

Active #43 lightweight · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1560 ±40
LCB 1508
Rank
#43
top 42% of division
UFC record
7-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Mar 29, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Dec 15, 2012 — L vs Rustam Khabilov Δ-33Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Garett Whiteley Δ+29May 24, 2014 — W vs Anthony Njokuani Δ+29Jun 10, 2017 — W vs Damien Brown Δ+34Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Joaquim Silva Δ+31Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Gregor Gillespie Δ-17Jun 29, 2019 — W vs Roosevelt Roberts Δ+15Aug 15, 2020 — W vs Jim Miller Δ+17Aug 21, 2021 — W vs Austin Hubbard Δ+11Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Mark Madsen Δ-17May 4, 2024 — L vs Ismael Bonfim Δ-20Mar 29, 2025 — L vs Rafa Garcia Δ-19 14271484154215991657 2015201820212024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":199.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2012-12-15","opp":"Rustam Khabilov","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":99.2,"y":172.5,"elo":1496,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Garett Whiteley","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":123.7,"y":145.4,"elo":1525,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Anthony Njokuani","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":335,"y":113.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Damien Brown","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":378.9,"y":85.1,"elo":1590,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Joaquim Silva","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":402.6,"y":100.8,"elo":1573,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Gregor Gillespie","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":477.2,"y":86.7,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-06-29","opp":"Roosevelt Roberts","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":555.7,"y":71.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Jim Miller","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":626.1,"y":60.9,"elo":1617,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":670,"y":77.1,"elo":1599,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Mark Madsen","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":813.5,"y":95.7,"elo":1579,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Ismael Bonfim","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":113.3,"elo":1560,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Rafa Garcia","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 29, 2025 Rafa Garcia L -19
May 4, 2024 Ismael Bonfim L -20
Apr 9, 2022 Mark Madsen L -17
Aug 21, 2021 Austin Hubbard W +11
Aug 15, 2020 Jim Miller W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.66 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.06 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.42 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
51% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
32% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.19 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
86% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (86%) 6
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.3
actual +1 vs expected