HonestElo
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Leonardo Santos

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1586 ±36
LCB 1539
Rank
UFC record
7-3-1
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y -15
Last fight
Aug 20, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jun 8, 2013 — W vs William Macario Δ+41Mar 23, 2014 — D vs Norman Parke Δ+4Sep 13, 2014 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+25Mar 21, 2015 — W vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ+24Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Kevin Lee Δ+33Oct 8, 2016 — W vs Adriano Martins Δ+15Jun 1, 2019 — W vs Stevie Ray Δ+15Jul 11, 2020 — W vs Roman Bogatov Δ+9Mar 20, 2021 — L vs Grant Dawson Δ-21Dec 4, 2021 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-24Aug 20, 2022 — L vs Jared Gordon Δ-19 15011553160416551706 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":194.5,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"William Macario","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":97,"y":190.4,"elo":1545,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Norman Parke","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":2,"x":141.2,"y":165,"elo":1570,"date":"2014-09-13","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":189.1,"y":139.7,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-03-21","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":256.5,"y":105.9,"elo":1627,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":332.8,"y":90.3,"elo":1642,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Adriano Martins","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":577.8,"y":75,"elo":1657,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Stevie Ray","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":680.8,"y":65.5,"elo":1666,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Roman Bogatov","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":8,"x":744.6,"y":87.4,"elo":1645,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":810.3,"y":112.5,"elo":1621,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":132.6,"elo":1601,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 20, 2022 Jared Gordon L -19
Dec 4, 2021 Clay Guida L -24
Mar 20, 2021 Grant Dawson L -21
Jul 11, 2020 Roman Bogatov W +9
Jun 1, 2019 Stevie Ray W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.58 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.12 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.81 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
26% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
87% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.23 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
2
29% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 2 (29%) 2 Dec: 3 (43%) 3
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1552
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.3
actual +1 vs expected