HonestElo
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Mark Madsen

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1562 ±35
LCB 1517
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d -5 · Δ1y -5
Last fight
Nov 11, 2023
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Sep 28, 2019 — W vs Danilo Belluardo Δ+30Mar 7, 2020 — W vs Austin Hubbard Δ+27Aug 21, 2021 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+28Apr 9, 2022 — W vs Vinc Pichel Δ+31Nov 5, 2022 — L vs Grant Dawson Δ-29Nov 11, 2023 — L vs Jared Gordon Δ-20 14901531157316151656 2020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185,"elo":1530,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Danilo Belluardo","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":115.1,"y":150.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":416.3,"y":115,"elo":1585,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":547.1,"y":75,"elo":1616,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Vinc Pichel","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":666,"y":111.9,"elo":1587,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":137.9,"elo":1567,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Jared Gordon","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 11, 2023 Jared Gordon L -20
Nov 5, 2022 Grant Dawson L -29
Apr 9, 2022 Vinc Pichel W +31
Aug 21, 2021 Clay Guida W +28
Mar 7, 2020 Austin Hubbard W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.20 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.57 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.57 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
67% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1576
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual +1 vs expected