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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

16-12-1 UFC record 8-5-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 3
+3 Streak +1
39 Age 31
5'10" 178 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1606 Global Elo 1551
1555 Elo rating 1508
King Green — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Terrance McKinney — Notable
At a glance

King Green — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2058 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 10%

Terrance McKinney — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 229 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
87% Head
  • Head 87%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
45% Distance
  • Distance 45%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 42%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

6.58
7.77
div avg 4.65
54%
56%
div avg 51%
3.61
4.11
div avg 3.84
62%
42%
div avg 54%
1.30
3.05
div avg 1.84
47%
43%
div avg 38%
70%
73%
div avg 72%
0.29
2.55
div avg 0.62
2
7
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

King Green
44% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 3
can finish?
Terrance McKinney
finished 100%
5 of 5 losses
Terrance McKinney
100% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 3
can finish?
King Green
finished 50%
6 of 12 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1543 (King Green) vs 1524 (Terrance McKinney).

King Green red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1543
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win
Grant Dawson
Elo 1689 at fight time
Expected wins
14.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 29 fights
1568
1498
Terrance McKinney blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Fares Ziam
Elo 1532 at fight time
Expected wins
6.9
+1.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1511
1499

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    L
    KO/TKO
    KO/TKO
    Dec 17, 2022
    Mar 12, 2022
Corner A recent form
King Green
Corner B recent form
Terrance McKinney
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from King Green & Terrance McKinney on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.