Other bouts 13
- 1welterweight MainConor McGregorvsMax Holloway
- 2lightweightBenoit Saint DenisvsPaddy Pimblett
- 3bantamweightCory SandhagenvsMario Bautista
- 4flyweightBrandon RoyvalvsLone'er Kavanagh
- 6light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsRobert Whittaker
- 7Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsElisha Ellison
- 8bantamweightCody GarbrandtvsAdrian Yanez
- 9featherweightLuke RileyvsKai Kamaka III
- 10women's flyweightTracy CortezvsWang Cong
- 11middleweightDamian PinasvsCesar Almeida
- 12Not linkedbantamweightFarid BasharatvsJohn Garza
- 13middleweightRyan GandravsZach Reese
- 14flyweightAlessandro CostavsCody Durden
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: King Green 34.8% · Terrance McKinney 65.2%
Pure Elo pre-fight: King Green 57.7% · Terrance McKinney 42.3%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
Finishes 100% of wins (5 KO · 3 SUB; 100% of wins end in round 1).
9 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 17-12-1 | UFC record | 8-6-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 3 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 3 |
| +4 | Streak | -1 |
| 39 | Age | 31 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 5'11" 180 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 1621 | Global Elo | 1536 |
| 1577 | Elo rating | 1491 |
King Green — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 3 finishes in a row
- UFC veteran since 2013
Terrance McKinney — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · lightweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- Top 5 · lightweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
King Green — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 2124 landed total · career
- Head 58%
- Body 25%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 10%
Terrance McKinney — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 274 landed total · career
- Head 87%
- Body 13%
- Leg 0%
- Distance 47%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 42%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1524 (King Green) vs 1544 (Terrance McKinney).
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 11, 2026
- May 9, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Dec 13, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- Jul 11, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jun 28, 2025
- Feb 1, 2025