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flyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Corner A
Brandon Royval
#14 7-5-0
Elo 1515
VS
Corner B
Lone'Er Kavanagh
#17 3-1-0
Elo 1506

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Brandon Royval 50.0%
Corner B Lone'Er Kavanagh 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight

Tale of the tape

7-5-0 UFC record 3-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-2 Streak +1
33 Age 27
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1565 Global Elo 1554
1515 Elo rating 1506
Brandon Royval — Notable ▼
At a glance
Lone'Er Kavanagh — Notable ▼
At a glance

Brandon Royval — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 768 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 8%

Lone'Er Kavanagh — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 265 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 10%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.54
4.10
div avg 3.86
42%
48%
div avg 47%
4.25
3.47
div avg 3.24
43%
56%
div avg 56%
0.65
1.16
div avg 1.55
75%
45%
div avg 38%
45%
94%
div avg 64%
1.08
0.23
div avg 0.73
1
2
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Brandon Royval
57% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 3
can finish?
Lone'Er Kavanagh
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Lone'Er Kavanagh
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Brandon Royval
finished 60%
3 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Brandon Royval has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1626 vs 1530, 3 quality wins to 1.

Brandon Royval red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1626
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tatsuro Taira
Elo 1649 at fight time
Expected wins
5.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1455
1595
Notable wins
Tatsuro Taira 1649 Brandon Moreno 1629 Matheus Nicolau 1620
Lone'Er Kavanagh blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1530
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins
2.0
+1.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1500
1620
Notable wins
Brandon Moreno 1620

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Brandon Moreno
    W
    Decision - Split
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 24, 2024
    Feb 28, 2026
Corner A recent form
Brandon Royval
Corner B recent form
Lone'Er Kavanagh
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Brandon Royval & Lone'Er Kavanagh on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.