Other bouts 13
- 1welterweight MainConor McGregorvsMax Holloway
- 2lightweightBenoit Saint DenisvsPaddy Pimblett
- 3bantamweightCory SandhagenvsMario Bautista
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsTerrance McKinney
- 6light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsRobert Whittaker
- 7Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsElisha Ellison
- 8bantamweightCody GarbrandtvsAdrian Yanez
- 9featherweightLuke RileyvsKai Kamaka III
- 10women's flyweightTracy CortezvsWang Cong
- 11middleweightDamian PinasvsCesar Almeida
- 12Not linkedbantamweightFarid BasharatvsJohn Garza
- 13middleweightRyan GandravsZach Reese
- 14flyweightAlessandro CostavsCody Durden
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Brandon Royval 30.3% · Lone'Er Kavanagh 69.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Brandon Royval 51.5% · Lone'Er Kavanagh 48.5%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 8-5-0 | UFC record | 3-2-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 4 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -1 |
| 34 | Age | 27 |
| 5'9" 175 cm | Height | 5'6" 168 cm |
| 68" 173 cm | Reach | 67" 170 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1583 | Global Elo | 1522 |
| 1531 | Elo rating | 1467 |
Brandon Royval — Notable ▼
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Top 5 · flyweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Joshua Van8.43
- 2Brandon Royval5.60
- 3Jose Ochoa5.16
- 4Daniel Barez4.97
- 5Cj Vergara4.95
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- 63% of wins by KO or submission
Lone'Er Kavanagh — Notable ▼
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Brandon Royval — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 852 landed total · career
- Head 79%
- Body 14%
- Leg 7%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 9%
Lone'Er Kavanagh — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 321 landed total · career
- Head 57%
- Body 25%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 12%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Joshua Van8.43
- 2Brandon Royval5.60
- 3Jose Ochoa5.16
- 4Daniel Barez4.97
- 5Cj Vergara4.95
- 1Joshua Van57%
- 2Cj Vergara57%
- 3Andre Lima55%
- 4Manel Kape55%
- 5Tatsuro Taira54%
- 1Jose Johnson1.85
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel1.92
- 3Asu Almabayev1.94
- 4Joseph Morales2.05
- 5Kyoji Horiguchi2.08
- 1Alden Coria70%
- 2Matheus Nicolau66%
- 3Kai Kara-France64%
- 4Kyoji Horiguchi64%
- 5Sumudaerji63%
- 1Asu Almabayev4.74
- 2Cody Durden3.82
- 3Tim Elliott3.61
- 4Tatsuro Taira3.57
- 5Azat Maksum3.50
- 1Nyamjargal Tumendemberel67%
- 2Jose Johnson67%
- 3Brandon Royval64%
- 4Joshua Van62%
- 5Andre Lima56%
- 1Ramazan Temirov100%
- 2Matheus Nicolau90%
- 3Azat Maksum86%
- 4Alessandro Costa85%
- 5Kai Kara-France84%
- 1Joseph Morales3.04
- 2Jimmy Flick2.39
- 3Edgar Chairez1.82
- 4Tagir Ulanbekov1.52
- 5Alden Coria1.47
- 1Tatsuro Taira8.08
- 2Asu Almabayev7.34
- 3Tagir Ulanbekov6.11
- 4Cody Durden5.48
- 5Ronaldo Rodriguez4.92
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Brandon Royval has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1606 vs 1537, 3 quality wins to 1.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 11, 2026
- Dec 13, 2025
- Jun 28, 2025
- Oct 12, 2024
- Feb 24, 2024
- Jul 11, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Aug 23, 2025
- Mar 22, 2025
- Nov 23, 2024